Concept

Reproducibility — where it appears

Whether a measurement returns the same number when something that should not matter is changed — a head size, a sample grid, a seed. Every claim here is repeated at a second setting of at least one of them, since a number obtained once is a number about that occasion.

Named by 10 essays across 4 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

The angle between the first two peaks, for six starting disorders. The same equations, the same ring, six different starting perturbations: 177°, 47°, 109°, 151°, 47°, 133°. A spiral needs the angle between successive elements to be the same one each time, and a stationary ring does not supply that.

A ring cannot make a spiral

The peaks on a Turing ring do not all appear at once — there is a first and a second. But which two lead is decided by the starting disorder, so the angle between them comes out at 177°, then 47°, then 109°, then 151°. A divergence angle is a relationship that repeats, and this one does not.

mechanism · Ring limit
The wander climbs because its denominator falls. Three quantities across the same sweep of the rule's depth, each divided by its own value for the shallowest rule so that they share an axis. The wander rises by a factor of 3.7 as the neighbourhood goes from 3 organs to 182. The scatter between neighbouring divergences falls by 1.57, because that is the part of a disturbance a placement rule corrects and a deeper rule corrects it better. What is left — how many degrees of slow drift actually reach the divergences — changes by 1.20, from 1.52 to 1.82 degrees. The rule barely filters a drift at any depth.

What the ratio was hiding

The statistic that says a rule sharpens a drift rises by a factor of nearly four across a sweep of the rule's depth. Undo the normalisation and ask instead how many degrees of drift actually reach the divergences, and the answer changes by a fifth. Nearly all of the effect was in the denominator, and the denominator is the thing the rule is good at.

mechanism · Noise colour
Hold the neighbourhood and the denominator stops mattering. The equivalent width of the disorder dip — the area of the deficit divided by its own depth — for seven fractions whose nearest neighbours sit at the same distance and whose denominators run from 19 to 47. Each is measured at a head size chosen so that all of them share one scaled unit, which makes a window in scaled units the same window in degrees and the same fraction of the way to the neighbour for every member. At a window of 25 the seven widths are 38.8, 38.8, 39.0, 39.0, 38.7, 39.0, 39.0 — a spread of ×1.010 across a factor of 2.47 in denominator. The lines separate as the window widens, to ×1.147 at 200, and when they do they order by denominator rather than by crowding. So the residual this thread carried was the window: hold it and there is nothing left that belongs to the fraction.

The residual was the window

After the depth and the q over n squared scale are taken out of a disorder dip, something looked left over and looked ordered by how crowded the fraction's neighbourhood is. Measured on fractions whose neighbourhoods are identical by construction, seven widths across a factor of two and a half in denominator agree to one per cent. There is no residual; there was a comparison made at different effective windows.

wrong · Second statistic
The offset past the front that is felt anyway. The four cells of the design whose response has a hole in it: a run of felt offsets, a stretch of quiet, and then one isolated offset well outside the front at which a removal moves the next organ by tens of degrees. The open circle on each row is the count coming in at the next rung of that branch's ladder, and the filled point is the isolated offset. It sits one inside the incoming count on every row, including on the Lucas branch, where the incoming counts are 7 and 11 rather than the Fibonacci numbers the rule was found on.

The hole on the other branch

Near a transition, the run of offsets a stem notices stops being a run: there is quiet past the front and then one isolated offset, felt as hard as anything inside it. Where that offset sits was pinned down on Fibonacci lattices, where the numbers to check it against are 5, 8 and 13. On the Lucas branch they are 4, 7 and 11 — and the rule holds there too.

cylinder · Branch choice
A wreck is a whole number of extra turns. For each of the 19 stems that never repair, the slip of its settled divergence multiplied by the lag whose hop survived. Every value lands on a whole number of turns — the horizontal lines — with a largest departure of 2.97 degrees, against divergences that have moved between 0 and 103 degrees. 17 of the 19 close on exactly one turn. So a wrecked stem is the stem it was with one extra turn threaded through every period of the family that survived, which is a dislocation with a stated size rather than damage.

One turn per survivor

If a wrecked stem keeps one family of its old lattice exactly, then the angle it settles at is not free. Over the period of the family that survived, the pattern has to come back to where that family left it — which means the whole change in the divergence is a whole number of turns spread over a small whole number of organs. Measured, it is one turn, at seventeen of nineteen.

emergence · Ablation
Where the pattern starts, measured at two run lengths. One row per wrecked cut. The small mark is the onset a 300-organ run reports and the ring is what a 600-organ run reports; a row with only one mark reports an onset at only one length. 19 of the 24 rows that report both move by more than twenty organs, and the largest move is from 135 to 435. The range the thread has been quoting, 7 to 303 organs, becomes 28 to 473.

Twice the run

Five wrecked cuts never reached a pattern inside three hundred organs and one reached it at three hundred and three, which is a number asking to be checked. Run every cut in the census twice as far and three of the thirty change their answer.

mechanism · Run length
Where the pattern starts, measured at two run lengths. One row per wrecked cut. The small mark is the onset a 300-organ run reports and the ring is what a 600-organ run reports; a row with only one mark reports an onset at only one length. 19 of the 24 rows that report both move by more than twenty organs, and the largest move is from 135 to 435. The range the thread has been quoting, 7 to 303 organs, becomes 28 to 473.

An onset at the end of the run

One cut reported that its pattern began 299 organs into a 300-organ run. Given twice the room it reports no pattern at all. The reading was the run stopping, not the disturbance ending, and the definition guarantees one at the last organ of every run.

mechanism · Run length
Where the doubled cut's run finishes, at every rise of the sweep. The divergence the wrecked run ends at, rise by rise. It takes only a handful of values and jumps between them at rises one part in a thousand apart, 4 times inside the 9 rises of the finest sweep alone — where the walls, the block, the intact stem's divergence and the rigid lags are all held. So the end of a wrecked run is not a stable quantity on this rung, and no statement about where the stem finishes is available on either side of the transition. The first organ's displacement is the reproducible half of the same measurement.

The end of a wrecked run

The obvious follow-up to a transition in where one organ goes is whether the stem also finishes somewhere different. On this rung the question has no answer: a wrecked run's final divergence takes four values and changes between rises a thousandth apart, three times inside a nine-rise sweep.

cylinder · Both walls
The endpoint over four times the run: 60 of 63 do not move at all. One cell per wrecked run, dark where the divergence reported as its endpoint at 300 organs is the same divergence at 1200, warm where it moved. It moves on three of 63 runs, by a median of 0.0000 degrees and a worst of 0.0039. That worst is 128 times smaller than the 0.5 degrees at which two settled values are counted as one destination, and the movement has no sign — 1 up, 2 down. The short reading is precise about where a run finishes; it is silent about whether the run stays there.

Like with like

Seventeen wrecked runs settle when regrown to four times their length, and every one of them settles at the divergence the short run already reported. The endpoint moves by four thousandths of a degree at worst, which makes the short reading precise about where and silent about whether.

mechanism · Settling
The settling share at every rise, sampled two ways. How often a stem reaches a lattice, against the rise, at each of the four falloff exponents. The horizontal rule is the half share the wall is read at. At nine starting angles the four exponents cross it at rises spanning a factor of 1.96 and order themselves 2, 5, 3, 4; at twenty they span a factor of 1.18 and order themselves 5, 4, 2, 3. The ordering reverses and the spread collapses, so the conclusion that the exponents do not separate is confirmed and the numbers that had suggested otherwise were the coarser sampling's own error.

A wall that stopped moving

Four falloff exponents were reported not to move the rise below which stems stop reaching a lattice. Their measured walls spanned a factor of two and ordered themselves 2, 5, 3, 4. At twenty starting angles they span a fifth of one and order themselves 5, 4, 2, 3 — so the conclusion was right and its arithmetic was noise.

emergence · Exponent

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

Honest limitsMeasurementClaim testingNegative resultAblationSummary statisticArtefactFalsifiabilityTransientCensusControlDiscrimination

All concepts