Ladder

Damage shape — the ladder

5 distinct arguments against one idea, from the one that introduces it to the one that assumes the rest.
  1. How far every organ moved, 6 places back at a rise of 0.01. One mark per organ above the hole, at the angle it sits from where the same organ sits in a control that shares its history. The collection has read two numbers out of profiles like this one — the largest displacement anywhere, and the first organ's — and never the profile. It is not a bump that decays. After about 18 organs it settles into a repeating pattern of eight levels, one per residue class modulo 8, which is the lag whose hop this stem kept. six of those levels sit together and two do not.

    The damage has a period

    Every wrecked stem in the census has had two numbers read out of its displacement profile and the profile itself read out of none of them. Folded on the lag the stem kept, twenty-five of the thirty are constant inside each residue class to between 0.12° and 6.09°.

    rung 1 · mechanism
  2. A period of 8, and the two classes that are not with the rest. The same wrecked stem, folded on the lag it kept: one row per residue class, each drawn at the mean displacement of its own organs against the level the rest of them share. The bar through each row is the spread inside that class, and the widest of them is 0.87° — so within a class the displacement is a constant. six classes sit at the common level. The two that do not sit at 134.3° and -134.2°, equal and opposite to within 0.0 per cent, and they are neighbouring residues. The stem's own divergence is 137.44°, so an exception is one organ's step.

    One level and two exceptions

    Inside a wrecked stem's period most residue classes sit at one level and a couple do not. On seventeen of the thirty cuts the exceptions are exactly two, equal and opposite to within five per cent — and on all seventeen they are neighbouring residues, which was not looked for.

    rung 2 · mechanism
  3. The exceptional pair, measured in divergences. One row per wrecked cut whose profile has exactly one pair of exceptional classes, drawn at the size of that pair divided by the stem's own settled divergence. Every row sits between 0.882 and 1.076, so the two chains that came apart moved by one organ's step rather than by two or by half of one. The residual is not scatter: rows are grouped by the lag the stem kept, and every lag sits wholly above the line or wholly below it. Why a surviving 5 or 7 overshoots and a surviving 4 or 8 falls short is not answered here.

    A step of one organ

    The balanced pair inside a wrecked stem's period measures 88.0° to 147.2° against divergences of 99.1° to 138.0° — one organ's step, to within twelve per cent on every row. The residual is not scatter: every stem keeping a 5 or a 7 overshoots and every stem keeping a 4 or an 8 falls short.

    rung 3 · mechanism
  4. How constant the displacement is inside one residue class. One row per wrecked cut in the census, drawn at the widest spread found inside any one residue class when the profile is folded on the lag that stem kept. 25 of 30 rows sit between 0.12 and 6.09 degrees, which on a quantity whose between-class differences run past a hundred and fifty degrees is a constant. The five that do not sit from 10.3° up. There is nothing in between, so the line drawn at 10° could have been drawn anywhere in a wide interval.

    The plateau was a prediction

    Last round's search for a reference organ found that the largest displacement above a hole is a plateau rather than a peak, and reported it as a failure. A profile constant on each of k residue classes has exactly k levels, so its maximum is attained by a whole class — a ninth to a quarter of every window, forever.

    rung 4 · mechanism
  5. How far above the hole the damage becomes a pattern. One row per wrecked cut, drawn at the first organ from which every residue class stays at its own level for the rest of the run. On the 25 rows that reach it at all, it runs from 7 to 303 organs above the removed one; five rows never reach it inside the 300 organs each run is continued for. Below that point the stem is still moving, and the displacement of the first organ after the cut — the quantity that tells a cheap removal from an expensive one — is measured there. Above it, nothing changes again.

    Two regimes above a hole

    Below the repeating pattern there is a transient, and the boundary between them is measurable: the first organ from which every class stays at its own level runs from 7 to 303 organs above the hole on twenty-five of thirty cuts, and five never reach it inside the run.

    rung 5 · mechanism

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