The damage has a period
Worth reading first: The organ that was taken away · Counting the spirals · A head is a set of points.
Remove one organ from a settled stem, continue the run against a control that shares its history, and every organ placed afterwards sits some angle away from where the same organ sits in the control. That is three hundred numbers per cut and there are thirty wrecked cuts in the census, so nine thousand numbers have been computed here across five rounds.
Two of them per cut have ever been read: the largest displacement anywhere, and the displacement of the first organ. This essay reads the rest.
What the two numbers were for
The largest displacement was the search for a reference organ: something to measure a disturbance from, so that a removal could be described by where its effect is worst rather than by where the hole is. That search failed — the largest displacement turned out to be a plateau rather than a peak, and a maximum over a plateau names an arbitrary organ.
The first organ’s displacement was the search for a cost: how much a removal disturbs the rule that has to place the next organ. That one worked, and split the census cleanly: taking a chain-neighbour of the tip moves the next organ 8.9° to 30.7°, taking anything else 62.8° to 167.6°.
Neither reading looked at the shape.
The reading that was missing
A profile is a sequence indexed by lag — how many places above the removed organ each one sits. A sequence indexed like that can be periodic, and the obvious period to try is the one the stem is known to have.
Because a wrecked stem does have one. Exactly one lag stays rigid: the angle from an organ to the one k places above it is unchanged from the control, organ by organ, while every other lag moves. That k is measured for every wrecked cut in the census and it is between 4 and 11.
So fold the profile on k. Take the last hundred and twenty organs of each run, split them into k residue classes, and ask how much the displacement varies inside a class.
The answer
On 25 of the 30 wrecked cuts, the widest spread inside any one residue class is between 0.12° and 6.09°.
The differences between classes on those same cuts run past a hundred and fifty degrees. So the profile is not a scatter of three hundred numbers; it is k levels, each one held to a few degrees, repeating for as long as the run goes on.
The five that are not
They are not near the line. Their spreads are 10.3°, 69.5°, 69.6°, 152.7° and 156.9°, against 6.09° for the widest of the twenty-five. Two populations with a gap between them, which means the threshold that separates them could have been drawn anywhere between about six and ten degrees.
That is the kind of separation this collection likes and it is worth naming the one soft edge: the nearest of the five is 10.3°, which is close enough to the 6.09° above it that a reader should know the gap is a factor of 1.7 and not a factor of ten. The other four are a factor of eleven clear.
The five are named rather than counted: one cut on the golden 0.026 stem, two on the golden 0.010 stem, and two on the Lucas 0.020 stem.
Two readings that name one number
The lag the profile is folded on is not fitted to the profile. It comes from a different measurement on a different quantity: the lag spectrum compares hops within the cut stem against hops within the control, while the profile compares the cut stem against the control organ by organ.
One is a difference taken inside a run; the other is a difference taken between runs. Neither is computed from the other, and they name the same k.
That is the two-routes check this site runs on everything it believes, and here it happened for free — the folding was tried on the surviving lag because it was the obvious thing to try, and the fact that it works is a second measurement of the same structure.
What a period means here
A stem whose displacement is constant on each residue class modulo k is a stem whose arrangement differs from the control’s by something that repeats every k organs. Every organ in class 0 has moved by the same amount; every organ in class 1 by the same, different amount; and so on.
That is a much more specific object than “damaged”. It says the wrecked stem is still a regular arrangement — just a different one — and that the difference between the two is describable by k numbers rather than by three hundred.
It also says the damage does not heal and does not spread. A disturbance that was dying away would give classes whose means drift towards zero; a disturbance that was growing would give classes whose spread grows. Neither happens: the k levels are as flat at organ three hundred as at organ two hundred.
Why 120 organs
The window has to hold several repeats of the lag or a class mean is a reading rather than a mean. At a surviving lag of 8 a window of 120 gives fifteen samples a class; at a lag of 11 it gives eleven.
It is the same window the lag spectrum uses, kept rather than re-chosen, so that the two measurements are made over the same stretch of the same runs. A different window would have made the agreement between them a comparison of two things measured at two places.
The check that the window is long enough is asserted rather than assumed: a call with a window under eight periods is refused. A class of four organs is steady whatever the profile does, and a measurement whose answer is guaranteed is not a measurement.
Read against the reference-organ failure
The previous round’s search for a most-disturbed organ found a plateau: at sixteen of thirty rows, a fifth of the search window sits within a tenth of the largest displacement.
That is now a prediction rather than a disappointment. A profile with k levels attains its maximum on a whole residue class — every organ of one class, forever — so the share of any window within reach of the maximum is about one in k, which for k between 4 and 11 is a ninth to a quarter. A fifth is squarely inside that.
So the reference organ does not exist for a structural reason: the profile has no peak because it has no decay. Looking for the organ that moved furthest is looking for the first member of a class, and which member is first depends on where the window starts.
What the levels are
Mostly one level, and a couple of exceptions. Between a quarter and six sevenths of the classes on a given cut sit together within 5.55° of each other, and the rest sit 12.4° to 160.4° away.
The exceptions are the subject of the next essay and they are where the mechanism is. What matters here is that they are few: a profile is not k arbitrary numbers, it is one number with two or three departures from it.
What the common level is
A whole-stem offset. Every organ above the hole has moved by roughly the same amount, which is what happens when an arrangement slips: the pattern is intact and sitting somewhere else.
The size of that offset is not the same across the census — it runs from a fraction of a degree to more than a hundred and fifty — and it is not what this essay is about. It is the part of the damage that a single number describes, and the slip has already been measured: a wrecked stem’s surviving family slips by a whole number of turns per period.
The common level and the slip are the same fact seen from two sides.
What this does not say
It does not say the profile is periodic everywhere. The window is the top hundred and twenty organs of a three-hundred-organ continuation, and below it the profile is doing something else — a transient, whose extent is its own measurement.
It does not say every wrecked stem is periodic; five of thirty are not, and nothing here explains them.
And it does not explain why the period should be the surviving lag rather than something else. That the two agree is a measurement. Why they agree is a statement about the placement rule, and this essay contains no such statement.
What it changes about the census
Every number this thread has read off a displacement profile is now a number read off a level — or off the transient, or off the boundary between them.
The first organ’s displacement, which separates cheap removals from expensive ones, is in the transient. The largest displacement, which failed as a reference, is the extreme level. The survivor, the block and the slip are all properties of the pattern.
Sorting the readings that way is the useful thing this essay does. It means a future measurement on a profile has to say which regime it is in, and until now there was no reason to think there were two.
How the classes are numbered
From the end of the window, which is arbitrary and has to be said.
Splitting a hundred and twenty organs into k residue classes requires a starting point, and the one used is the first organ of the window rather than the removed organ. The two are three hundred organs apart and the number of organs between them is not a multiple of k, so class 0 here is not the removed organ’s own class.
Nothing in this essay’s claims depends on which class is which — a spread inside a class is a spread whatever the class is called — but two things later do. Whether the exceptional classes are adjacent is a statement about differences of class numbers, which survives renumbering. Anything that tried to relate a class to the cut would not, and nothing here does.
What the five exceptions have in common
Not much, and the honest answer is that they were not chosen and are not explained.
Two of the five are the two cuts on the Lucas 0.020 stem, which is the coarsest Lucas lattice in the census and the one whose wrecked stems land on a mirror rather than on an orbit. A mirror is a whole-arrangement reflection, and a reflection does not give a displacement that is constant on residue classes — it gives one that grows with the lag.
Two more are cuts four and five places back on the golden 0.010 stem, which are the only two of that stem’s five wrecked offsets that fail. The other three, at six, seven and eight, are among the cleanest rows in the census.
And the fifth is a cut four places back on the golden 0.026 stem, whose spread of 10.3° is the nearest of the five to the twenty-five that pass.
What a real stem would have to show
An arrangement above a hole whose organs fall into chains, most of them where the undamaged pattern would put them and a couple of them one place along.
That is a photograph and a numbering, not a protractor. It is the same observation the specified ablation already calls for — the organs above the hole, identified and numbered — read for a different thing: not whether the pattern recovered but which chains ended up where.
It is also an observation that would be reported as “the pattern recovered” by almost any survey, since a stem with two chains exchanged still counts the same pair and still looks regular. That is the useful part of having the prediction: it says what to look at, and it is not what anybody would look at.
What the periodicity is not evidence for
That the wrecked stem is a lattice. A profile constant on residue classes says the difference between two arrangements repeats every k organs; it says nothing directly about whether the second arrangement is regular in its own right.
The second question has its own answer and it is measured elsewhere. A wrecked stem’s divergence sequence settles into a repeating motif, and a counter run over its points returns a pair — so it is a lattice by both of the tests this collection applies.
Keeping the two apart matters because the periodicity here is the easier measurement and the weaker statement. A difference that repeats could in principle be a difference between two irregular arrangements that happen to be irregular the same way.
Why the fold was tried on that lag and not another
Because it is the only lag the stem is known to have.
A profile could in principle be periodic at any period, and finding one by searching is a different exercise with a different risk: a search over periods 2 to 24 on a three-hundred-organ sequence will find something, and what it finds will need a null model.
Folding on a lag measured independently avoids all of that. There is one candidate, it comes from a different quantity, and the test is a yes or no rather than a maximum over a range. The twenty-five rows that pass do so at a period nobody chose.
The exercise a search would have been is still available and would answer a different question — whether any other period also works — and it is not run.
The one line
Folded on the lag the stem kept, the displacement above a hole is constant within each residue class to between 0.12° and 6.09° on twenty-five of the census’s thirty wrecked cuts, against between-class differences past a hundred and fifty degrees. The lag is measured independently of the profile and the two agree. The damage is not a bump that decays; it is a repeating pattern of a few levels that never stops.
What links here
Computed from the collection, not written here: the essays that point at this one.
Reads more easily once this is understood
Essays that name this one as worth reading first.
Shares its objects with
Essays that name at least two of the same things, and that neither author linked.
- A step of one organ — both name ablation, claim testing, lattice offset, measurement, mechanism, resolution, rigid hop, slip
- A removal that changes nothing — both name ablation, claim testing, control, discretisation, measurement, mechanism, resolution
- The angle is not the actor — both name ablation, claim testing, control, description versus mechanism, lattice offset, mechanism, rigid hop
- A period the grid invented — both name ablation, claim testing, discretisation, measurement, resolution, summary statistic
- Both walls of the slot — both name ablation, claim testing, control, lattice offset, measurement, mechanism
- One offset, two answers — both name ablation, claim testing, control, lattice offset, measurement, rigid hop
Named objects
A flat tag is an object no other essay names yet.
AblationClaim testingControlDescription versus mechanismDiscretisationLattice offsetMeasurementMechanismResolutionRigid hopSlipSummary statisticTransient