Settling — the series

How many organs a stem needs before it is on a lattice. One row per rise, one mark per starting angle, placed at the organ from which every later divergence stays within a degree and a half of the run's own final value. Where a stem settles at all it does so between 0 and 290 organs in, against the 400 every ablation run here grows before it cuts anything. Not one row needs the length it is given. What changes down the table is the count on the right: how many of the nine starting angles reach a lattice at all, which falls from 7 at the coarse rises to 1 at the finest.

How long a stem takes to settle

Every result here is grown on a stem that has settled onto a lattice, and settling has always been tested for and never timed. Timed, it takes between nothing and two hundred and ninety organs — against the four hundred every ablation run grows before it cuts anything, and the nine hundred the noise runs carry.

part 1 · cylinder

A wall and not a budget

Below a rise of about 0.005 this collection's stems stop settling onto a lattice, and the limit has been written up four times without anybody asking which kind of limit it is. Grown three times as long, the table is identical row for row: not one stem that failed to settle succeeds. The floor is a wall.

part 2 · cylinder

How many starting angles reach a lattice, by rise and by falloff. Every cell is 9 stems grown from 9 starting angles spanning 40° to 180°, at one rise and one exponent in the placement rule's falloff, for 1200 organs each. The number is how many of them settle onto a lattice. Reading down a column, the basin closes as the rise falls, which is the wall. Reading across a row, nothing much happens: the exponent-three column is the published settling table digit for digit, and the other three are the same column inside their own sampling error. The account that a steeper falloff should wall somewhere else does not survive the table it predicted.

A steeper rule walls nowhere else

The account of the wall at the fine end was that the basin narrows because the neighbourhood deepens, which predicts a steeper falloff walling somewhere else. Grown at four exponents, the four columns settle 30, 31, 29 and 27 of 72 — a spread of 0.056 against an error of 0.058.

part 3 · emergence

How many organs settling takes, by falloff exponent. One mark per stem that settles, placed at the organ from which every later divergence stays within a degree and a half of the run's own final value. At the exponent every other measurement here uses, the slowest is 290 organs — the number four rounds of this collection have carried as though it belonged to the rule. It belongs to the exponent: at 4 the slowest is 808 and at 5 it is 674. A table of shares cannot see this, because a stem that settles at organ 800 and one that settles at organ 8 are the same entry in it. And it is still not a shortage of time: of 72 pairs of runs grown to 1200 organs and then to 3200, 0 settle at the longer length after failing at the shorter.

The clock a share cannot see

Settling takes nothing to 290 organs, and four rounds of this collection have carried that as a property of the rule. At a steeper falloff the slowest is 808 — and not one of the 72 pairs of runs settles at 3,200 organs after failing at 1,200, so the fine end is still a wall.

part 4 · emergence

Destinations only a steep rule reaches

A settled stem's divergence is the sharpest instrument in the sweep and the cheapest: it is already in every run, it does not average, and it is read on one grid at every exponent. Exponents 4 and 5 reach 42.3°, 47.9° and 148.1°, and the two shallower ones reach none of them.

part 5 · emergence

Every destination in the settling table, counted. One row per destination, placed across at the divergence the stems settled on and labelled with the parastichy pair a counter returns at the top of the run. 117 settled runs land on 15 destinations when two values within half a degree are called one. five of them sit on the golden or the Lucas sequence and ten do not, and the ones that do not are reached at every falloff exponent including the shallowest. Nothing here refuses to count: the settling test does not admit arrangements this collection would decline to call lattices.

A counter on the settling table

The settling table has reported an angle for every run that reaches a lattice, and nobody has ever counted one. A hundred and seventeen settled runs, regrown and counted: every one of them has a parastichy pair, and sixty-five of them land on sequences the ladder does not carry.

part 6 · emergence

What the 3 steep-only destinations count as. Each block is a divergence that only the two steeper falloff exponents settle a stem on, with the pair a counter returns and the sequence that pair belongs to. All three count. None is a rung of either ladder. Two of them are the only members of their sequence anywhere in the table; the third, at 148.1 degrees, is the coarsest rung of a sequence that supplies another destination at every exponent — so it is not a new kind of arrangement but a coarser one of a kind the table already reached.

What a steep rule counts as

Exponents four and five settle stems on 42.3°, 47.9° and 148.1°, and the two shallower ones reach none of them. All three count: 8/9, 8/15 and 2/5. None is a rung of either ladder, and one of them is the coarsest rung of a sequence the table already had.

part 7 · emergence

Where a stem started at each of twenty angles ends up, at a falloff exponent of 3. One column per starting angle and one row per rise, coarse at the top. A filled cell is a run that reached a lattice, its tone the destination it reached; a pale cell is a run that never settles. Runs of one tone across neighbouring columns are basins, and the widest of them spans 7 consecutive angles. The angles are 6.25 to 10 degrees apart, so a basin narrower than that cannot be seen here and a single filled cell says nothing about how wide its basin is.

A basin has a width

A destination reached from one starting angle is a presence. A destination reached from seven consecutive starting angles spanning forty-five degrees is a basin with an extent, and nine angles could not have measured one — they were too far apart to have two of them land in the same place.

part 8 · emergence

Round numbers are not a sample

The nine starting angles the settling table was grown from reach a lattice four times in ten. Eight angles placed exactly halfway between them reach one a quarter of the time. The difference is not noise and it is not the range — several of the nine sit next door to somewhere a stem could settle.

part 9 · emergence

Twenty angles instead of nine

Every claim in this collection about where a stem ends up rests on nine starting angles a cell, and the file that uses them says so — it computes a binomial error of 0.17 and declines to read a spread against it. Eleven more angles halve that error and change what several of the numbers were.

part 10 · emergence

Forty angles, and a limit

Nine starting angles turned out to be a biased sample of the circle, and doubling to twenty said by how much. Doubling again says the estimate is converging — to a smaller correction than one doubling extrapolated to.

part 11 · emergence

Destinations found at nine, twenty and forty starting angles. How many distinct divergences the settling table reaches at each sampling, split into those sitting on the golden or Lucas sequence and those off both. The on-ladder count is 5 at every sampling, over a fourfold refinement of the starting angle — so the rule's on-ladder targets were enumerated by the first nine runs. The off-ladder count goes 10, 13, 14, and the one the last doubling found is off both ladders.

A list that can only shrink

The destinations only a steep falloff reaches grew from three to five when the sampling doubled, and everyone read it as a list filling in. Doubling again takes two off it, which is the only direction a list defined by an absence can ever move.

part 12 · emergence

The widest basin, at twenty starting angles and at forty. The starting angles of one cell of the table, drawn as ticks, with the run of consecutive angles that all reach one destination filled. At twenty angles it holds 7 angles and spans 43.75 degrees; at forty it holds 14 and spans 47.5. Halving the spacing doubled the count and left the width where it was, which is what a real basin does and what a run of angles produced by the sampling does not. The other half of the same table goes the other way: 170 of 233 runs are a single angle, against 116 of 151.

A basin that doubled

A run of consecutive starting angles reaching one destination is a basin, and its width is a lower bound. Halving the spacing doubled the angles in the widest one and left its width alone, which is what a real basin does and a sampling artefact does not.

part 13 · emergence

Predicted 29 of 63 settle; 17 do. The 63 wrecked runs of the slot design regrown to 1200 organs and put to the settling table's own criterion, unchanged in every tolerance. Rows are whether the 300-organ endpoint sat within 1 degree of a destination; columns are whether the regrown run settles. The prediction written down before the sweep was that the 29 agreeing runs would settle: 12 of them do and 17 refuse, and the whole set settles 17 rather than 29. Agreement carries information without being a rule — 41.4 per cent of the agreeing runs settle against 14.7 per cent of the others, an odds ratio of 4.09 and a phi coefficient of 0.300 — so an agreeing run is still likelier to refuse than to settle.

A destination or a refusal

Sixty-three wrecked runs were regrown to twelve hundred organs and put to the settling table's own criterion, unchanged in every tolerance. The prediction written down before the sweep said twenty-nine would settle; seventeen do, and the prediction is wrong on its own side of the table as well as in its total.

part 14 · mechanism

The endpoint over four times the run: 60 of 63 do not move at all. One cell per wrecked run, dark where the divergence reported as its endpoint at 300 organs is the same divergence at 1200, warm where it moved. It moves on three of 63 runs, by a median of 0.0000 degrees and a worst of 0.0039. That worst is 128 times smaller than the 0.5 degrees at which two settled values are counted as one destination, and the movement has no sign — 1 up, 2 down. The short reading is precise about where a run finishes; it is silent about whether the run stays there.

Like with like

Seventeen wrecked runs settle when regrown to four times their length, and every one of them settles at the divergence the short run already reported. The endpoint moves by four thousandths of a degree at worst, which makes the short reading precise about where and silent about whether.

part 15 · mechanism

The same verdict at every length from 300 organs to 1200. The settling criterion applied to the first 300, 400, 600, 800, 1000, 1200 organs of each of the 63 regrown runs. It accepts 17 at every one of them and refuses 46 at every one, and not one run changes sides. A truncated twelve-hundred-organ run is the shorter run organ for organ, so this is a comparison of lengths rather than of growths. The slowest arrival in the whole set is 138 organs, so 140 is the measured requirement and 300 carries a factor of 2.1. The column drawn dark is 300 organs, where the verdict is 17 settled and 46 refused.

What a run length was hiding

The settling criterion returns an identical verdict on all sixty-three wrecked runs at every length from three hundred organs to twelve hundred, so run length explains nothing. What the sweep does find is that an endpoint is a mean over an orbit, and thirty-four refusers never come within a degree of their own reported endpoint.

part 16 · mechanism