How long a stem takes to settle
Worth reading first: A head is a set of points · Counting the spirals · The rung was not the instrument.
Every stem in this collection is grown, checked for having settled onto a lattice, and then experimented on. Four hundred organs before an ablation run cuts anything; nine hundred before a noise run reads a scatter. Those numbers were chosen once, early, and they have never been justified by anything except that the stems they produce pass the settling test.
Which means settling has been tested for and never timed. This essay times it.
The distinction is not pedantic. A test returns a yes, and a yes carries no information about how much margin there was: a stem that settled at organ eight and one that settled at organ three hundred and ninety both pass a test applied at four hundred, and only one of them says the budget was well chosen.
The instrument
A stem is settled from the first organ after which every later divergence stays within a degree and a half of the run’s own final value. That is not a new test: it is the recovery test the ablation work uses on a cut stem, pointed at growth from a seed rather than at repair from a hole.
Two details in it are load-bearing.
The first is a hold: sixty organs, so that the last handful of a run cannot be called a settling. Without one, the test finds the final few angles of any run and reports it as settled four organs before the horizon, which is what a first version did.
The second is a chirality fold. The rule has no handedness — nothing in it distinguishes a turn one way from the same turn the other — so a run settling on 220.9° has settled on the same arrangement as one settling on 139.1°. Every angle is folded to within half a turn before any mean is taken. Without folding, a mirror-image run reports a wandering mean and a settled stem is called unsettled.
The control that makes it a measurement
Started from the golden angle, a stem at a rise of 0.020 is settled at organ zero.
That is not a fast stem. It is a stem started on its own answer, so it never leaves it, and a measurement of approach that begins at the destination measures nothing at all. The number is real and it is a property of the starting angle rather than of the rise.
So the table is grown from nine starting angles spanning 40° to 180°, and the golden one is reported beside the others rather than as the result. Two rises out of eight have a zero in them, and both zeros belong to the golden seed.
What the nine starting angles are for
Nine angles from 40° to 180°, evenly spread, and the spread rather than the count is the design.
A divergence is defined up to a mirror, so 180° covers the whole range of distinguishable starting lattices; anything above it is a reflection of something below. Nine points across that range put a seed roughly every twenty degrees, which is coarse compared with the width of a basin near an attractor and fine compared with the gaps between attractors.
That coarseness has a consequence worth stating: the shares reported here — how many of nine settle at each rise — are estimates of a basin’s size with an error bar of about a ninth. Reading a fall from seven of nine to five of nine as a precise measurement would be over-reading. Reading a fall from seven of nine to one of nine as a real change would not.
The answer
Where a stem settles at all it does so within 290 organs, and most of them inside fifty.
The slowest settling anywhere in the table is 290 organs, at the finest rise where anything settles at all and from a starting angle a hundred and thirty degrees away from where it ends up. The next slowest is 159. The median is under twenty.
Against four hundred organs before a cut and nine hundred before a noise reading, that is a factor of one and a half at the very worst and a factor of forty typically. Not one row in the table needs the length it was given.
What that settles and what it does not
It settles a worry that has been implicit in this collection for four rounds: that results at the fine end of the ladder might be about stems that had not finished settling. They are not. At every rise where a stem settles, it has settled hundreds of organs before anything is done to it.
It does not settle the reverse worry, which is subtler and which the table sharpens rather than resolves. A stem that has settled by the site’s test is a stem whose divergence has stopped moving to within a degree and a half. Whether some slower process is still going on underneath that tolerance — a drift of hundredths of a degree over thousands of organs — is not something this test can see, and it is exactly the sort of thing that would matter to a measurement of where a divergence sits inside a rung.
The check for that is a longer run and a tighter tolerance, and it is not the same experiment as this one. What can be said from here is that at the site’s own tolerance, nothing is still moving.
Where the time goes
The distribution is not smooth and it is worth looking at rather than summarising.
Most starting angles settle within twenty organs. A few take fifty to a hundred and twenty. One takes 290. And a large number never settle at all — at the coarse rises two of nine, at the fine ones eight of nine.
That shape is the signature of a system with several attractors and a boundary between them. A starting angle inside a basin goes to its attractor quickly; one near a boundary takes longer; one in no basin at all wanders indefinitely. This collection has drawn those attractors from the other direction — sweeping the rule’s own parameter rather than its starting angle — and the branches there are the destinations these runs are falling into.
The destinations bear that out. Across the whole table the settled values cluster on a handful of angles — near 79°, 99°, 101°, 137°, 139°, 151° — which are the golden and Lucas branches and a few others, rather than a continuum.
The number the collection should have had
There is a version of this measurement that would have been worth having from the day the first stem was grown here, and it is not the one above.
The useful quantity is not “how long does a stem take to settle” but “how long does a stem take to settle from a starting angle that is not the answer”, which is what the nine-seed design measures and what a single golden-seeded run cannot. The distinction is the difference between a transient and a control, and it is the same distinction the ablation work draws between a cut run and its own control.
Had it been measured early, two things would have been different. The run lengths would have been chosen from a number rather than from caution, which would have made every sweep in this collection cheaper — four hundred organs where fifty would do is a factor of eight on the most expensive tables here.
And the shape of the distribution would have been in view. A quantity that is either small or infinite, with very little in between, is a strong hint about the system producing it, and it is the hint the next essay follows.
The one row that is genuinely slow
Two hundred and ninety organs, at a rise of 0.003, from a starting angle of 150°, settling on 151.3°. It is the only row in the table that comes near the run lengths this collection uses, and it deserves a paragraph because it is also the only settled row at that rise.
Everything about it is unusual. The rise is below where any branch of the ladder reaches, so the arrangement it settles onto is not on the golden or Lucas branch; its divergence of 151.3° is not near a limit angle either. Eight of the nine starting angles at that rise never settle at all.
So the slowest settling in the collection is a lone survivor in a region where almost nothing survives, on an arrangement nothing else here reaches. That is a curiosity rather than a caution: it does not say that fine stems settle slowly, because at that rise there is no population of fine stems to be slow. It says that one starting angle out of nine found something to settle onto, and took a while.
Whether that arrangement is a lattice in any useful sense — whether a counter returns a contact pair for it, whether it has parastichies a person would draw — is not something this measurement asks. The settling test asks only whether the divergence stopped moving, and a divergence can stop moving on a great many things.
What a settling time is not
It is not a plastochron, and the two are easy to confuse. The plastochron is the interval between organs, which here is the rise; the settling time is how many organs pass before the arrangement stops changing. One is a parameter and the other is a response.
It is also not a measure of stability. A stem that settles in eight organs is not more stable than one that settles in eighty; both end up on the same lattice and both stay there. What the time measures is distance from the destination in the space the rule moves through, which depends on the starting angle at least as much as on the rise.
And it is not, on this evidence, a useful predictor of anything else. The rows that settle slowly are not the rows with unusual scatters, or unusual fronts, or unusual anything — they are rows that started further away. That is worth stating because a transient is exactly the sort of quantity a reader expects to correlate with something, and this collection has been caught before treating a quantity as informative because it was measurable.
Reading it against the ablation runs
The reason to care is the run lengths, so it is worth putting the two side by side properly.
An ablation run grows four hundred organs, removes one, and continues for three hundred more. The settling table says the first four hundred are between one and a half and forty times more than the arrangement needs. The three hundred after the cut are a different question — that is how long a wrecked stem takes to reach its new motif, and it is measured separately by the recovery test, which finds a repair within tens of organs where there is one at all.
So both halves are generous, and generously is the right way to be wrong about a run length. The cost is compute rather than correctness: shorter runs would have made every table here cheaper and no table here different.
The one place it might matter is at the fine end, where fewer starting angles settle at all. A run that has not settled is not a stem with a longer transient; it is a stem doing something else, and what that something else is turns out to be the more interesting half of this measurement.
What is left
The tolerance. Everything here is measured at a degree and a half because that is the figure the ablation work uses, and it was chosen for a different question — how close a repaired stem has to be to its control before the repair is believed. Whether a tenth of a degree gives the same table is a re-run rather than a new experiment, and it is the obvious next thing.
There is also a version of the measurement that would say something the count of nine cannot. Sweeping the starting angle finely — a degree at a time rather than twenty — would map the basins directly rather than sampling them, and the settling time as a function of the starting angle is a curve with structure in it: flat inside a basin, rising toward a boundary, undefined outside. That is a hundred and eighty runs per rise instead of nine, which is affordable at these lengths, and it would turn a share into a boundary.
And the disc. Everything above is a cylinder, where the rise is a parameter. On a disc the rise falls as the radius grows, so a head is a stem climbing its own ladder as it fills, and what settling means there is not obviously the same question. This collection has drawn that climb and has never asked whether the arrangement keeps up with it.
What links here
Computed from the collection, not written here: the essays that point at this one.
Reads more easily once this is understood
Essays that name this one as worth reading first.
Shares its objects with
Essays that name at least two of the same things, and that neither author linked.
- The stem that changed hands — both name attractor, basin, counting blind, divergence angle, handedness, honest limits, initial condition, lattice, measurement, rise
- A stem coarse enough to cut — both name counting blind, control, divergence angle, honest limits, lattice, measurement, rise
- A stem on the other branch — both name attractor, counting blind, honest limits, initial condition, lattice, measurement, rise
- Half a turn, four at a time — both name attractor, counting blind, divergence angle, handedness, honest limits, lattice, measurement
- The band was not the sampling — both name counting blind, control, divergence angle, honest limits, lattice, measurement, rise
- The block is the count it was cut from — both name attractor, counting blind, divergence angle, honest limits, lattice, measurement, rise
Named objects
A flat tag is an object no other essay names yet.
AttractorBasinCounting blindControlConvergenceDivergence angleHandednessHonest limitsInitial conditionLatticeMeasurementRiseSettling timeTransient