The angle is not the actor
Worth reading first: The angle the ladder returns to · The organ that was taken away · Where a handover sits.
Remove one organ from a settled stem and one of two things happens. The arrangement repairs, and every lag it had is still there; or it never repairs, and exactly one lag stays rigid — the angle from an organ to the one p places above it, unchanged from a control that shares the stem’s whole history, while every other lag moves by tens of degrees.
Which p is the question this thread has been chasing for five rounds. This essay closes one of the three candidate answers by holding it still.
The three quantities, one more time
Sweeping the rise along a rung moves the counted pair, the settled divergence and the step ordering together. Every reading of the survivor ever scored here has been scored on a census that varied all three, so a rule that follows any of them scores the same as a rule that follows the others on most rows.
A band took the ordering out: hold the pair, hold the angle, reverse the ordering, and the surviving family does not change. That left two. A matched pair takes the angle out: hold the angle, change the pair, and see whether the answer moves.
If it does, the angle is not what decides the survivor and the pair is the only candidate left. If it does not — if two stems with different counted pairs keep the same family at the same divergence — the angle would be back in the running and the pair would be in trouble.
What is cut, and against what
At each rise of each matched pair, an organ is removed from a settled stem at every offset the front reaches, and the run is continued for three hundred organs against a control that shares its history to the last digit. A cut that repairs is recorded as repairing and has no survivor; a cut that never repairs has its whole lag spectrum measured, and the surviving lag is the shortest one whose hop is both steady and unmoved from the control’s.
That is the same instrument the census uses, unchanged, pointed at rises chosen for sharing an angle rather than for being convenient. Nothing about the measurement is new here. What is new is which stems it is pointed at.
Reusing the instrument without a single change is deliberate and it costs something. A measurement tuned for these particular stems might resolve them better; a measurement tuned for these particular stems is also a measurement whose tuning could be doing the work. The thresholds are the census’s — half a degree of spread before a hop is called rigid, three degrees of shift before it is called moved — and on these stems as on the others nothing sits near them. The rigid hops here measure hundredths of a degree of spread and the next steadiest lag in any of these wrecked stems measures tens.
The control matters as much as the cut. Both runs are continued from the same history by the same loop, so the two differ in exactly one organ and in nothing else — not in the seed, not in the grid, not in the heights, which are prescribed by the rise rather than by the pattern. A comparison between a cut stem and a freshly grown one would carry every difference two independent runs can accumulate, and none of them would be the removal.
The 3/5 and 5/8 pair
At 137.266°. The 3/5 stem is grown at a rise of 0.02251 and the 5/8 stem at 0.01074, a factor of 2.10 apart.
The 3/5 stem wrecks at one offset, four places back, and keeps the 5. The 5/8 stem wrecks at four offsets — three, four, six and seven places back — and keeps the 5 at the first two and the 8 at the other two.
So at one angle the two stems keep different sets: {5} against {5, 8}. The divergence is held to 0.0000°, the counted pair is not, and the answer follows the pair.
The 8 is the interesting half. It is a counted number of the 5/8 stem and it is not a lag the 3/5 stem has any particular relationship to — an 8-hop exists on a 3/5 stem, as every lag does, but it is neither of its two contact families and it is nowhere near the top of its length ranking. The 5/8 stem keeps it at two of its four wrecked offsets; the 3/5 stem keeps it at none.
Reading that the other way makes the point sharper. The two stems agree about the 5 — both keep it where they keep anything at the offsets they share — and they disagree about the 8, which one of them counts and the other does not. An account in which the divergence decides has no way to produce that asymmetry, because the divergence is the same number at both.
The 5/8 and 8/13 pair
At 137.844°, rises of 0.00739 and 0.00500 — the closest of the five, a factor of 1.48 apart, and the one where an objection is easiest to make.
The 5/8 stem wrecks at three offsets and keeps the 8 at two of them and the 5 at one. The 8/13 stem wrecks at five offsets and keeps the 8 at four of them and the 4 at one. So the two sets are {5, 8} and {4, 8}: they overlap in the 8 and differ in the 5 and the 4.
A reading that said “the angle decides it” would have to explain why the same angle produces a 5 at one rise and a 4 at the other. A reading that says the pair decides it has nothing to explain: 5 is a counted number of a 5/8 stem and 4 is not, and 4 is a counted number of nothing on that stem — which is a result the census already carries and is not this essay’s to settle.
The widest pair
At 137.859° and 137.844°, sixteen thousandths of a degree apart, with rises of 0.02547 and 0.00500 — a factor of 5.09. This is the pair where the two stems have least in common: different counted pairs, different fronts, different neighbourhood sizes, five times the spacing.
The 3/5 stem wrecks at one offset and keeps the 5. The 8/13 stem wrecks at five and keeps the 8 at four and the 4 at one. {5} against {4, 8}, sharing nothing.
It is the strongest of the four comparisons and the easiest to over-read. Two stems this different would be expected to differ in almost any measurement, so the fact that they differ here is not by itself surprising. What makes it informative is the pairing: the one quantity they share is the one being tested, and it is shared to a fifteenth of a grid step.
The width of the pair also buys a check that the narrow pairs cannot supply. If the surviving family were set by the divergence, the two ends of this pair should agree more than the two ends of the 1.48× pair, since the angle is what they have in common and everything else is further apart. It is the other way round: the 1.48× pair shares the 8 and the 5.09× pair shares nothing. The agreement tracks how alike the counted pairs are and not how alike the angles are, and the angles are equally alike at both.
None of that is a fit. There are four points and no parameter; what is being read off them is the direction of a difference, which four points can carry and a slope cannot.
The Lucas pair
At 99.273°, rises of 0.01046 and 0.00624. The 4/7 stem wrecks at four offsets and keeps the 7 at one of them and nothing at all at the other three. The 7/11 stem wrecks at six and keeps the 7 at three and the 11 at three.
The three cuts that keep nothing are worth pausing on. A wrecked stem with no rigid lag is not a lattice with a slip in it; it is a stem that is no longer any lattice, and multi-organ cuts produce them routinely while single-organ cuts almost never do. They are counted separately here rather than folded into a family, because folding a null into a set makes a claim about fewer rows than it says.
Counting them separately, the comparison still holds: {7} against {7, 11}, and the 11 is a counted number of the 7/11 stem and of nothing on the other.
The pair that says nothing
The 2/3 and 3/5 rungs match at 139.297°, and the comparison is empty. The 2/3 stem at 0.06151 wrecks at two offsets and keeps nothing at either; the 3/5 stem at 0.03065 wrecks at no offset at all.
That is the coarse end of this ladder doing what it has been measured to do. A 3/5 stem’s front is five organs, which is its own two edges with no middle, and a single removal has nothing to sever. So a fifth matched pair exists and produces no experiment.
It is in the table, and it is asserted to be there: a check requires that exactly one matched pair fail to wreck and that it be the one involving the coarsest rung. A design that quietly dropped its unusable cell would report four for four with nothing saying that a fifth was ever attempted.
Four for four
At every matched pair where both stems wreck, the two stems leave different families standing. Four pairs, three counted pairs of rungs on one branch and one on the other, angles held to 0.0000° at three of them and 0.0156° at the fourth.
The claim is a negative and it is worth stating in its weakest form, which is the form that is certainly true: the settled divergence is not sufficient to determine which family survives. Two stems at one divergence give different answers, so the answer is not a function of the divergence alone.
The weak form is the one the design supports, and it is stronger than it sounds. A quantity that is not sufficient cannot be the mechanism; it can at most be a term in one. And the divergence is the quantity every popular account of phyllotaxis is written in — the golden angle, its rational neighbours, how close a particular plant sits to 137.5° — so ruling it out as sufficient rules out the shape most explanations here take.
There is also a version of this that would have been much weaker and is worth naming so it is not confused with what was done. Growing two stems at two rises, noticing that their divergences happen to be similar, and comparing them, is not a matched design; it is a coincidence reported after the fact. The pairs here are found before anything is cut, by an overlap test and a refinement whose target is the midpoint of an interval — so which rises are compared is decided by the ladder and not by the answer.
That is all a matched pair can say. It cannot say the divergence is irrelevant — it might be one term in an account with other terms — and it cannot say the counted pair is the cause. What it can do is remove the divergence from the list of quantities that could, on their own, be the whole story.
What the two designs together leave
Three quantities, two designs, and the arithmetic is simple. A band holds the pair and the angle and moves the ordering: the answer does not move, so the ordering is not it. A matched pair holds the angle and moves the pair: the answer moves, so the angle is not sufficient.
The counted pair is what is left, and it is left in an awkward position: it is the only one of the three that has never been held still while the others moved, because holding the pair is what a rung does and a rung moves the other two together. So the pair is the last candidate standing and is also the one quantity here that has not been tested in isolation.
What a specimen would show
Nothing, and it is worth saying why the negative is useful anyway. Nobody measures a divergence on a plant; the protractor this would need is not an instrument anybody has, and the numbers in the literature are recovered from counts rather than measured directly.
So a result saying “the divergence is not the actor” removes from contention precisely the quantity that a field observer cannot see, and leaves standing the quantity a field observer can. That is the right way round for a collection whose survey specification is written in counts.
What could still overturn this
One thing, and it is not subtle. The comparison is between sets of surviving families, and a set is assembled over the offsets a stem wrecks at. Two stems that wreck at different offsets could produce different sets while agreeing perfectly at every offset they share.
They do not share any. A 3/5 stem wrecks at offset four and a 5/8 stem at three, four, six and seven — offset four is common, and the two keep the 5 there. Encouraging, and one row. The honest reading is that these four pairs establish the negative and do not establish anything positive about the offset, which is a separate reading with its own census.
What the four pairs cost
Twenty-five grown stems per refinement to locate each pair, sixteen cut stems at each of ten rises, and a control beside every one of them. Against that, the whole of the search that decides which rungs can be paired at all is two comparisons of intervals.
Worth stating because the ratio is the argument for doing the arithmetic first. Of the twelve pairs of rungs across the two branches, seven cannot produce a match and were ruled out before a single stem was grown; five can, and only those were searched.
The design’s expense is therefore concentrated where it produces something, which is not the usual shape of a sweep here — a band pays for every rise it covers whether or not that rise wrecks.
The one line
At four matched pairs the two stems settle on the same divergence, return different counted pairs, and leave different families standing. The divergence is held to a hundredth of a degree or better underneath every one of them, so it is not what decides the survivor — and with the ordering already removed, the counted pair is the only one of the three quantities left.
What links here
Computed from the collection, not written here: the essays that point at this one.
Shares its objects with
Essays that name at least two of the same things, and that neither author linked.
- The organ that moved furthest — both name ablation, claim testing, control, divergence angle, falsifiability, lattice offset, negative result, parastichy pair, rigid hop, underdetermination
- The family that lost a member — both name ablation, claim testing, control, falsifiability, lattice offset, negative result, parastichy pair, rigid hop, underdetermination
- The organ that was nobody's neighbour — both name ablation, claim testing, control, falsifiability, lattice offset, negative result, parastichy pair, rigid hop, underdetermination
- The shortest hop was a coin flip — both name ablation, claim testing, control, falsifiability, lattice offset, negative result, parastichy pair, rigid hop, underdetermination
- Both walls of the slot — both name ablation, claim testing, control, lattice offset, matched design, mechanism, negative result, parastichy pair
- One level and two exceptions — both name ablation, claim testing, control, description versus mechanism, lattice offset, mechanism, negative result, rigid hop
Named objects
A flat tag is an object no other essay names yet.
AblationCounting blindClaim testingControlDescription versus mechanismDivergence angleFalsifiabilityLattice offsetMatched designMechanismNegative resultParastichy pairRigid hopUnderdetermination