Both walls of the slot
Worth reading first: The organ that was taken away · Counting the spirals · The damage has a period.
Removing a chain-neighbour of the growing tip is the cheap removal: the next organ placed moves 8.9° to 30.7°, against 62.8° to 167.6° for removing anything else. Nine rows against twenty-one, with a factor of two in the empty space between them.
That is the opposite of what the placement rule’s own weighting suggests, and the sharp version of the question it raises is a two-by-two. Take away one wall of the slot the tip sits in; take away the other; take away both.
What the walls are
On a stem counted p and q, the organ p places back from the tip and the organ q places back are the tip’s two chain-neighbours: the nearest members of the two contact families, one on each side in azimuth.
Every other organ within reach is further away in the arrangement even where it is close up the stem. So the tip sits in a slot with two walls, and the two walls are named by the stem’s own counted numbers.
They are counted from the points of the very stem being cut rather than from a stem grown the same way somewhere else. That sounds like fussiness and is not: the whole design consists of naming two offsets, and an offset read off the wrong stem names an organ that is nobody’s neighbour while every other number in the row stays plausible.
The design
Four cells. Neither wall removed, which is the control and has a displacement of zero by construction. The p-wall removed. The q-wall removed. Both.
Run on six lattices spanning three counted pairs and both branches: golden stems at rises of 0.020, 0.013, 0.010 and 0.008, and Lucas stems at 0.013 and 0.008. That is twenty-four runs, of which eighteen are cuts and six are controls.
The measured quantity is how far the first organ placed after the cut sits from where the same organ sits in a control sharing the whole history. It is the same quantity the cheap-removal reading uses, unchanged.
Each wall alone is cheap
On all six lattices, both. The twelve single removals move the next organ by 2.3°, 4.9°, 8.9°, 11.3°, 12.0°, 18.3°, 20.6°, 25.3°, 25.8°, 26.3°, 29.5° and 41.7°.
Every one is inside the 45° that separates the two groups in the census, and ten of the twelve are inside 30°. That is the cheap-removal reading reproducing itself on six lattices it was not measured on, which is worth having as a check on the reading before anything is built on top of it.
The largest, 41.7°, is the 3-wall of the coarse 3/5 stem, and it is the one row that sits close to the line.
Both together, on three of the six
At the golden 0.013 stem the two walls alone move the next organ 26.3° and 4.9°. Together they move it 164.1°.
At the golden 0.010 stem, 25.3° and 8.9° alone; 163.6° together.
At the Lucas 0.008 stem, 18.3° and 2.3° alone; 117.9° together.
Three rows on which two cheap removals make an expensive one. The prediction that the pair should move the next organ much further than either alone is right on those three by a wide margin, and it is right in the specific sense that matters: the fourth cell crosses the gap the census measured between the two kinds of removal.
And not on the other three
At the golden 0.020 stem the two alone move it 41.7° and 20.6°, and together 47.8° — barely more than the larger of the two.
At the Lucas 0.013 stem, 29.5° and 11.3° alone; 34.9° together.
At the golden 0.008 stem, 25.8° and 12.0° alone; 12.0° together — which is exactly the larger removal’s own value, to the last digit. That row is worth an essay of its own.
So the prediction is right on half the lattices and wrong on half, and the way it is wrong is not “a bit less than expected” but “nothing happened”.
The interaction
With the intact stem as the origin, the two-by-two interaction is what the pair costs minus what the two singles cost added together. Across the six lattices it measures −25.8°, −14.5°, −5.9°, +97.3°, +129.4° and +132.9°.
Five of the six are more than ten degrees from zero, so the two walls are not independent almost anywhere. Three are strongly positive and two strongly negative.
An interaction that is large and of both signs is the least convenient result available. A consistently positive one would say two removals compound; a consistently negative one would say they partly cancel; this says the sign depends on the lattice, and nothing here says on what about the lattice.
What “much further than either alone” scores
Five of six. On every lattice but the golden 0.008 the pair moves the next organ further than the larger single removal does.
That is the weaker form of the prediction and it survives, while the stronger form — that the pair is more than the sum — scores three of six. The two forms differ because a sum of two cheap removals is itself sometimes past the expensive line even though neither part is, so exceeding the sum is a higher bar than exceeding either part.
Stating both scores is the point. A reading quoted as “five of six” and a reading quoted as “three of six” are the same six rows described with two different bars, and quoting only the flattering one is how a prediction gets credited.
Why the ceiling matters
The displacement is an angle folded to a half turn, so it cannot exceed 180°. Two of the three positive rows sit at 164° and 163°, which is 91 per cent of the ceiling.
That has two consequences and both cut against over-reading the size of the effect. A quantity near a ceiling cannot grow much further, so “much larger than the sum” is bounded above by how much room is left. And an angle folded to a half turn treats 170° and 190° as the same displacement, so a pair that threw the organ most of the way round would be reported as one that threw it nearly half way.
The interaction is therefore a lower bound on those two rows. It is quoted as a difference rather than a factor for the same reason.
The cheap and expensive groups, redrawn
The census’s two groups were 8.9° to 30.7° for a neighbour and 62.8° to 167.6° for anything else, with nothing between 31° and 63°.
The six fourth cells here are 12.0°, 34.9°, 47.8°, 117.9°, 163.6° and 164.1°. Two are in the cheap group, two are in the expensive one, and two sit in the gap — 34.9° and 47.8°, in the empty space the census had nothing in.
So removing two neighbours produces displacements the census’s single removals never produced. That is a small result and it is the kind that is easy to miss: a gap in a distribution is evidence about the process only until a different process fills it.
What the rule does with no wall
The placement rule puts each organ where a sum over its neighbours is least, with the weight falling as the cube of distance. With both walls gone the two nearest terms of that sum are missing, and what is left is a neighbourhood of organs further up the stem.
Two things could happen. The minimum could move a long way, because the terms that were pinning it are gone. Or it could hardly move, because the remaining terms were already deciding it and the two walls were nearly balanced against each other.
Both happen. Which one happens on a given lattice is what the sign of the interaction records, and the design does not say what selects it.
What the pair leaves standing
The families a wrecked stem keeps are measured for every cell of the design, and the fourth cell is not like the others.
Four of the six pairs leave a family standing — the 5 at two golden lattices, the 7 at a Lucas one, and so on. Two of the six leave nothing at all: no lag whose hop is both steady and unmoved from the control’s, anywhere in the spectrum.
Single-organ cuts essentially never do that. It is a destination multi-organ cuts reach and one organ does not, and it is worth separating from the displacement result because a stem that keeps nothing is not a lattice with a slip in it.
What was cut to make this possible
A limitation in the shared machinery. Cuts of several organs are made by the file that measures how many organs it takes, and it grew every stem from one fixed starting angle.
That put the whole Lucas branch out of reach of any multi-organ design: asking for a Lucas stem returned a golden one, silently, with the caller’s contact numbers read off a Lucas lattice and applied to it. The offsets then named organs that were nobody’s neighbour and the removal came back expensive — a plausible answer to a question that was never asked.
The first version of this table had Lucas rows reading 164° and 131° for single removals, which is how it was found. The starting angle is a parameter now, defaulting to what it was, so every stem previously grown is unchanged.
What the design does not vary
The offset. Every cut here is at one of the stem’s two counted numbers, so the design has two cells that are single removals and neither of them is a removal somewhere else.
That is what makes the singles comparable across six lattices: the 5-wall of a 5/8 stem and the 7-wall of a 7/11 stem are the same object named by different numbers. It also means the design says nothing about removals that are not walls, and the census’s expensive group — 62.8° to 167.6° — is made entirely of those.
So the four cells are a slice through a larger table rather than a table. The larger one, with every pair of offsets rather than the two walls, is the two-organ sweep the dose thread ran and it did not record displacements or spectra.
Why the walls are the right two offsets
Because they are the two the placement rule’s own nearest terms belong to.
The rule sums over neighbours with the weight falling as the cube of distance, so the contribution of an organ is set by how far it is from where the next one goes. The two chain-neighbours are the two nearest organs in the arrangement, which is what makes them the two largest terms — and the fact that removing either is the cheap removal is the standing puzzle, since the largest term going missing ought to move the answer most.
The two-by-two is the sharpest form of that puzzle. If two cheap removals make an expensive one, the cheapness of each is about the pair being intact rather than about either member.
On three of six lattices they do, which is the shape of an answer without being one.
What a bigger design would settle
Whether the sign of the interaction tracks anything. Six lattices give three positives and three negatives and no visible pattern; the rise does not order them, the counted pair does not, and the branch does not.
Twenty lattices would be eighty runs, of which twenty are controls shared with everything else at those rises, and would either produce a pattern or establish that there is not one. It is the cheapest unrun experiment this round leaves.
The candidate the design points at is position inside the rung, which is the column that turned out to be doing the work the last time this thread thought a quantity was varying freely.
What the fourth cell is not
A dose. The dose thread removed one, two, three, four and five organs from a stem and found that the share of arrangements which never repair climbs 0.25, 0.56, 0.71, 0.83, 0.98 — so removing more wrecks more, and it invents no new destination.
This design removes two organs and the two are named rather than swept. That makes it a different question: not how much damage, but which two organs, chosen for being the two the rule’s own nearest terms belong to.
The two questions meet in one place. A dose of two is one of sixty-four arrangements at each rung, and the two walls are one of them. Where the walls sit inside the dose sweep’s own distribution of outcomes is a comparison worth making and is not made here, because the dose sweep recorded fates and not displacements.
Where the design’s numbers can be checked
Against the census, which measured the same quantity on different stems.
The twelve single removals here are all at offsets equal to one of the stem’s counted numbers, and the census’s own reading of that case gives 8.9° to 30.7° over nine rows. This design gives 2.3° to 41.7° over twelve, which brackets it — wider at both ends, on stems the census does not contain, and with no row outside the 45° that separates the two groups.
That agreement is the check that the machinery is measuring the same thing. It is worth having because this design’s first version measured something else — Lucas offsets applied to golden stems — and the way it announced itself was single removals coming back at 164° and 131°, outside the cheap group by a wide margin.
The one line
The tip sits in a slot between its two chain-neighbours. Removing either alone costs 2.3° to 41.7° on all six lattices, which is the cheap group everywhere. Removing both costs 12.0° to 164.1°: past the expensive line on three lattices, in the gap between the two groups on two, and exactly the larger single removal’s own value on one. The interaction runs from −25.8° to +132.9° and is large on five of six, in both directions.
What links here
Computed from the collection, not written here: the essays that point at this one.
Reads more easily once this is understood
Essays that name this one as worth reading first.
Shares its objects with
Essays that name at least two of the same things, and that neither author linked.
- One level and two exceptions — both name ablation, claim testing, control, lattice offset, measurement, mechanism, nearest neighbour, negative result, prediction
- The ordering was not the actor — both name ablation, claim testing, control, lattice offset, matched design, nearest neighbour, negative result, parastichy pair, the placement rule
- The organ that moved furthest — both name ablation, claim testing, control, lattice offset, measurement, nearest neighbour, negative result, parastichy pair, the placement rule
- One offset, two answers — both name ablation, claim testing, control, lattice offset, measurement, negative result, parastichy pair, the placement rule
- The angle is not the actor — both name ablation, claim testing, control, lattice offset, matched design, mechanism, negative result, parastichy pair
- The family that lost a member — both name ablation, claim testing, control, lattice offset, measurement, negative result, parastichy pair, the placement rule
Named objects
A flat tag is an object no other essay names yet.
AblationClaim testingControlThe range of the interactionLattice offsetMatched designMeasurementMechanismNearest neighbourNegative resultNeighbourhoodParastichy pairThe placement rulePrediction