Give a lattice's errors a period of eight and a comb appears at spacing eight, on an arrangement with no rule in it. But the partner it names is 10, then 12, then 11, then nothing — an accident of the disturbance rather than a measurement of the pattern. The forgery is caught by reading a second stem, and by nothing else.
A memory in a plant’s disturbances manufactures nothing, and the reason is that
a memory decays. The thing that would manufacture a comb is a disturbance that
returns — one that comes back to the same value at a fixed separation instead
of fading away from it. This essay builds that disturbance deliberately, drives
it into a lattice with no rule anywhere in it, and reads the result with the
same instrument.
It works. A comb appears, at the spacing it was given, well clear of the
sampling band.
Fig. 1 A kinematic lattice at the same divergence, rise and scatter as every control in this thread, with one change: the azimuth error repeats every eight organs. Seven tenths of each displacement is a fixed pattern of length eight, played over and over; the rest is a fresh draw. The teeth at 8, 16 and 24 are as tall as a real stem’s, on an arrangement in which nothing was ever placed by a rule.
So the previous phase’s control is not sufficient on its own. Independence was
doing work in it, and a disturbance that is not independent in the right way
puts up the phase’s headline observable for free.
What saves the result — and it does survive, in a weakened form — is that the
forgery is bad at the second number, and the site’s own habit of reading more
than one stem is what exposes it.
What the forgery gets right, and what it invents #
The readout returns a pair. It finds a spacing by looking for the residue class
whose members average highest, and it finds a partner by looking for a second
class at the same spacing. On the forged stem the spacing is 8, which is right,
because 8 is what the disturbance was built to repeat at.
The partner is where it comes apart.
Fig. 2 The eight forged stems, differing only in the seed of their disturbance. Four of them refuse. The four that report name 10, 10, 12 and 12 as the partner — and the position counter reads the same pair from every one of these arrangements, because they are the same arrangement. Not one of the four is right, and the two answers that do appear are answers to which pattern was drawn rather than to which lattice was built.
The partner is not a measurement at all. Here is why, and the arithmetic is
short enough to check by hand.
A disturbance that repeats with period 8 has a covariance that depends only on
the separation modulo 8. Whatever the fixed pattern happens to look like —
and it is drawn once per stem, so it looks different on every stem — its
circular autocorrelation at offsets 1 through 7 is a set of seven numbers of
order one over the square root of eight, with signs that are an accident of the
draw. Those seven numbers reappear at every lag congruent to them: the value at
lag 2 is the value at lag 10 is the value at lag 18.
So a periodic disturbance does not put up one comb. It puts up eight of
them, one per residue class, and seven are junk. The readout picks the tallest
of the seven, and which one is tallest is a property of the pattern that was
drawn for this stem. Change the seed and a different class wins.
That is why the answers run 10 and 12 rather than clustering near 13. There is
nothing about 13 in the disturbance at all. The forger knows one number, and the
readout demands two.
The junk classes are not small, either, which is why they get through. A random
pattern of length eight has circular correlations at offsets 1 to 7 that scatter
around zero with a spread of roughly one over the square root of eight — about a
third — and the periodic part of the disturbance carries seven tenths of the
variance, so the tallest of the seven arrives at the readout at something like a
quarter. The threshold a second comb has to clear is three sampling bands
divided by the square root of its own length, which for a four-member comb is
about a tenth. A quarter clears a tenth comfortably. The forgery’s partner is
not squeaking past a test; it is passing it by a factor of two, on a quantity
with no information in it.
That is worth stating as a general caution rather than as a fact about this
forgery. A threshold set by sampling noise does not protect against structure
that is not the structure being looked for. The band in every figure here
is what a correlation wanders by when there is nothing there; it says nothing
about what a correlation does when there is something there that is not the
thing being measured.
Fig. 3 The same forgery, driven harder — nine tenths of the displacement is the repeating pattern. The main comb rises to 0.75, above the rule’s own 0.64, and the junk classes rise with it: now seven of the eight stems report, naming 10, 12, 10, 12, 12, 12 and 11. Making the forgery stronger does not make its partner more nearly right; it makes the wrong partner more confident, and it adds an eleventh answer to the list.
Everything above is invisible from one stem. A botanist handed a single forged
angle sequence would read a clean comb at spacing 8, a partner clearing the
band, and would report a pair — with no way to know that a second plant of the
same species, disturbed the same way, would report a different one.
So this essay changes the specification, and it changes it in the direction the
survey thread has been pushed twice already. The pair must be read on several
stems, and the readings must agree.
That is not a statistical nicety about averaging out noise. It is the only test
that separates a lattice from a periodicity, because the lattice is a property
the stems share and the periodicity is a property each stem draws for itself.
The rule’s own stems agree with each other and with the position counter; the
forgery agrees with nothing.
Fig. 4 What agreement looks like when it is real: five rises, five seeded stems each, read from the angles alone and checked against a counter that is shown coordinates and no angles at all. Where the readout reports it reports the same pair on every stem, and the two instruments share no code path. The forged stems above fail both halves of this at once.
The site has had the habit for four phases and it was never justified this
sharply. The reason to run five seeds was that any one of them might be
unlucky. The reason now is that a single stem cannot distinguish a pattern from
a disturbance that repeats.
Why the forger cannot simply be told the second number #
The obvious repair, from the forger’s side, is to use a disturbance that repeats
at 13 as well as at 8. That is possible and it is the subject of the next essay,
where it is built out of something a plant plausibly has rather than out of two
periods chosen by hand. But it is worth noticing first what happens with a
periodicity at 13 alone, because the answer is not what a reader would guess.
Fig. 5 A disturbance repeating every thirteen organs, at the same strength as the one that forged a comb at eight. The readout finds nothing to name. The spacing it settles on is 10 rather than 13, because 13 is outside the range it can return at all, and the comb it assembles there averages 0.117 against a clearance of 0.126. It refuses on all eight stems, and the average across them is 0.049 against a band of 0.073. The disturbance is exactly as strong and exactly as periodic as the one above. The instrument simply cannot see it.
The reason is the readout’s own arithmetic, and it is the same constraint that
turns up from the other direction in the essays about the fine end of the
ladder. A comb has to have three teeth inside the lag window before it is called
a comb — two lags at a common spacing is a coincidence available at every
spacing — and the window is thirty lags. So the largest spacing the search can
return is ten. A period of 13 has teeth at 13, 26 and 39, and the third is
outside the window; the search never proposes 13 as a spacing, so it never finds
the comb that is sitting there.
This cuts both ways and both are worth having.
For the forgery: a disturbance repeating at the larger parastichy number is
invisible, so a forger has to know the smaller one specifically. Knowing “some
number in this plant’s arrangement” is not enough.
For the instrument: there is a whole class of real periodicity the readout
would miss, and the miss is silent. A stem whose disturbance repeats at 13 would
be reported as having no comb, which under the previous phase’s reading would
have been evidence that no rule made it.
Fig. 6 The lattice’s own offsets at this rise, ordered by how far apart the two organs they connect actually are. The three shortest are 13, 8 and 5, and the counter’s pair is 8 and 13 — so the numbers the forgery has to know are not arbitrary, they are the short hops of the arrangement it is imitating. What the previous figure shows is that knowing the shortest of them is not enough to forge a reading, and what the next essay shows is that knowing two is.
The forgery above was built by hand, and a forgery built by hand is only worth
worrying about if something in the world could build it. Three candidates are
worth naming, and the third is the one that matters.
A daily cycle beating against the plastochron. Organs are produced at
roughly regular intervals, and the environment varies on a twenty-four-hour
cycle, so a plant producing one organ every fraction of a day would receive a
disturbance that repeats every few organs. This is real and it is not the
threat: the period it produces is set by the ratio of two times, which has no
reason to be a whole number and every reason to drift as the plant grows. A
period that drifts is a memory with extra steps — the correlation smears across
neighbouring lags and the comb loses its teeth.
An oscillation in the meristem itself. Some models of primordium initiation
have a genuine clock in them, and a clock with a period of a few plastochrons
would put structure at the lag of that period. Again the number is set by the
clock rather than by the pattern, so it would have to coincide with the smaller
parastichy number by accident — and it would go on repeating at the same lag
while the pattern climbed the ladder and its parastichy numbers changed, which
is a prediction a real stem could refute in one reading.
And the one that is not an accident: the neighbours. The organs that touch
an organ are, by the definition of a parastichy pair, the ones m and n
places back in the order of production. So any disturbance transmitted through
contact — a physical push, a shared vascular connection, a local depletion of
something — is correlated at exactly the lags the readout examines, and it is
correlated at them because they are the lattice’s, not by coincidence.
That third candidate is the real threat and it is the subject of the next essay.
It is worth seeing clearly what makes it different from the forgery here: this
essay’s disturbance knows one number, chosen by whoever built it. A
neighbour-transmitted disturbance knows both numbers, and does not have to be
told them, because it lives on the arrangement whose numbers they are.
Which also disposes of the reassurance the previous section might otherwise
offer. Reading several stems catches a forger who has to pick a period, because
the period is a free parameter and the seven junk classes come out differently
each time. It does not catch a disturbance whose period is a property of the
lattice, because then every stem of the species has the same one.
The title is the point and it is worth stating as a claim rather than as a
summary.
A phyllotactic lattice is a set of points on a cylinder with a metric on it.
Its parastichy numbers are the index offsets whose two organs come out
closest together on the surface — which is a fact about the geometry, and the
reason the numbers are Fibonacci is that a nearly-golden divergence makes those
the short hops. The offsets are related to each other: 21 is 8 plus 13 because
the vector to the 21-neighbour is the sum of the vectors to the other two, and
this site measured two phases ago that every contact family but the two
smallest is a sum of two others.
Fig. 7 The property a real lattice has and a list of periods does not: every contact family above the two smallest is the sum of two others, so the whole set is generated by two numbers. The forgery has one number and produces a set generated by nothing — eight residue classes with unrelated heights, of which the readout picks whichever won this time.
A periodic disturbance has none of that structure. It has one period and seven
accidents. It reproduces the symptom the readout was built to detect and none
of the arithmetic underneath it, and the arithmetic is what the second comb was
found to be made of one phase ago: the second comb sits at the difference of
the pair because correlation travels between neighbours and a one-step chain
reaches offsets a·m + b·n with b = 0 or ±1.
Fig. 8 The single-number version of the readout on real stems, which is what the previous phase’s period thread produced and what the two-comb reading was built to improve on. The improvement matters more than it looked: this figure’s quantity is the one a periodic disturbance forges, and the pair is the one it cannot.
So the forgery in this essay is a forgery of a statistic, not of a lattice.
That is a real weakness of the statistic and it is why the previous phase’s
control was too weak. It is also why the repair is available: demand the part of
the statistic that reflects the arithmetic, on more than one plant.
Three requirements, each added by a measurement rather than by caution.
Several stems, and the readings must agree. From this essay. A single stem
cannot separate a lattice from a period, and the disagreement between forged
stems is visible with as few as three.
The angle reading must agree with a position count on the same stem. From
the previous phase, and now doing much more work than it was asked to. The
forged stems all have the same positions and therefore the same counted pair,
so the counter contradicts four of the five that report.
And a refusal is not evidence of anything. From the figure at 13 above. The
readout’s window means a periodicity at the larger parastichy number leaves no
trace, so “no comb” cannot be read as “no periodicity”, and — under the previous
phase’s interpretation — could not have been read as “no rule” either.
Fig. 9 The two instruments against each other on the site’s own stems, which is the agreement the forged arrangements break. It is worth looking at again with the forgery in mind: what makes this figure evidence is not that the angles return a pair but that two instruments sharing no code path return the same one, on stems that share nothing but their species.Fig. 10 And the shape that does none of this, for contrast. A memory of any length leaves the readout with nothing to find, which is why the worry the phase plan carried for three phases turned out to be the wrong worry. The dangerous disturbance is not the one that lasts; it is the one that comes back.Fig. 11 The five arrangements of this thread, with this essay’s in the fourth bar. It puts up a comb of the right size and reports a pair that is wrong on every stem. The fifth bar is the one that gets both right, and it is built out of something a plant has rather than something a forger chose.Fig. 12 The forgery that does know both numbers, and does not have to be told them. It is the next essay’s, and it is what a periodicity would look like if the period were a property of the lattice rather than a parameter of the forger.
Essays that name at least two of the same things, and that neither author linked.
The control a survey would need— both name autocorrelation, counting blind, discrimination, evidence, identifiability, measurement, null model, parastichy pair, specimen
The rung was not the instrument— both name artefact, autocorrelation, counting blind, divergence angle, ensemble, identifiability, lattice offset, measurement, parastichy pair
What a forgery has to know— both name autocorrelation, discrimination, evidence, identifiability, lattice offset, measurement, noise, null model, parastichy pair
What the pair costs— both name autocorrelation, counting blind, discrimination, divergence angle, ensemble, identifiability, measurement, parastichy pair, specimen
A comb is evidence of a rule— both name autocorrelation, discrimination, divergence angle, evidence, lattice, measurement, noise, parastichy pair
A refusal with a reason— both name autocorrelation, discrimination, divergence angle, ensemble, identifiability, measurement, parastichy pair, specimen