The pattern itself

A periodicity is not a lattice

Give a lattice's errors a period of eight and a comb appears at spacing eight, on an arrangement with no rule in it. But the partner it names is 10, then 12, then 11, then nothing — an accident of the disturbance rather than a measurement of the pattern. The forgery is caught by reading a second stem, and by nothing else.

Worth reading first: A disturbance with a memory · Counting the spirals · The sequence has a memory.

A memory in a plant’s disturbances manufactures nothing, and the reason is that a memory decays. The thing that would manufacture a comb is a disturbance that returns — one that comes back to the same value at a fixed separation instead of fading away from it. This essay builds that disturbance deliberately, drives it into a lattice with no rule anywhere in it, and reads the result with the same instrument.

It works. A comb appears, at the spacing it was given, well clear of the sampling band.

A lattice with an error that repeats every 8 organsThe autocorrelation of 759 divergence angles from a kinematic lattice at a divergence of 137.8261° and a rise of 0.005, with 0.5° of scatter on each azimuth. There is no placement rule anywhere in it: node i is put at exactly i times the divergence and then displaced. The only thing that differs between this figure and the control is the structure of the displacement — here, an error that repeats every 8 organs at period 8, weight 0.7. The largest comb mean is 0.592 against a sampling band of 0.073, and the readout returns 8/10.-0.50000.500125810131621242629lag, in internodescorrelation between a divergence and the one that many internodes later816242101826reads 8/10 · no rule in itmain 0.592 · band 0.073sampling bandkinematic lattice · 759 anglesgenerated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 1 A kinematic lattice at the same divergence, rise and scatter as every control in this thread, with one change: the azimuth error repeats every eight organs. Seven tenths of each displacement is a fixed pattern of length eight, played over and over; the rest is a fresh draw. The teeth at 8, 16 and 24 are as tall as a real stem’s, on an arrangement in which nothing was ever placed by a rule.

So the previous phase’s control is not sufficient on its own. Independence was doing work in it, and a disturbance that is not independent in the right way puts up the phase’s headline observable for free.

What saves the result — and it does survive, in a weakened form — is that the forgery is bad at the second number, and the site’s own habit of reading more than one stem is what exposes it.

What the forgery gets right, and what it invents

The readout returns a pair. It finds a spacing by looking for the residue class whose members average highest, and it finds a partner by looking for a second class at the same spacing. On the forged stem the spacing is 8, which is right, because 8 is what the disturbance was built to repeat at.

The partner is where it comes apart.

A periodicity reports a different partner every timeeight kinematic lattices, differing only in the seed of their disturbance, each read by the same instrument. The disturbance repeats every 8 organs at a weight of 0.7: it puts a strong comb at spacing 8 — 0.43 against a band of 0.07 — and the partner it names is 8/10, 8/12 across the 8 stems and never 8/13, which is what the position counter finds in every one of them. There is no placement rule in any of these arrangements.stemwhat the angles say18/10not the lattice's pair2refused3refused48/10not the lattice's pair58/12not the lattice's pair6refused78/12not the lattice's pair8refusedthe positions say 8/13kinematic lattice · error of period 8generated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 2 The eight forged stems, differing only in the seed of their disturbance. Four of them refuse. The four that report name 10, 10, 12 and 12 as the partner — and the position counter reads the same pair from every one of these arrangements, because they are the same arrangement. Not one of the four is right, and the two answers that do appear are answers to which pattern was drawn rather than to which lattice was built.

The partner is not a measurement at all. Here is why, and the arithmetic is short enough to check by hand.

A disturbance that repeats with period 8 has a covariance that depends only on the separation modulo 8. Whatever the fixed pattern happens to look like — and it is drawn once per stem, so it looks different on every stem — its circular autocorrelation at offsets 1 through 7 is a set of seven numbers of order one over the square root of eight, with signs that are an accident of the draw. Those seven numbers reappear at every lag congruent to them: the value at lag 2 is the value at lag 10 is the value at lag 18.

So a periodic disturbance does not put up one comb. It puts up eight of them, one per residue class, and seven are junk. The readout picks the tallest of the seven, and which one is tallest is a property of the pattern that was drawn for this stem. Change the seed and a different class wins.

That is why the answers run 10 and 12 rather than clustering near 13. There is nothing about 13 in the disturbance at all. The forger knows one number, and the readout demands two.

The junk classes are not small, either, which is why they get through. A random pattern of length eight has circular correlations at offsets 1 to 7 that scatter around zero with a spread of roughly one over the square root of eight — about a third — and the periodic part of the disturbance carries seven tenths of the variance, so the tallest of the seven arrives at the readout at something like a quarter. The threshold a second comb has to clear is three sampling bands divided by the square root of its own length, which for a four-member comb is about a tenth. A quarter clears a tenth comfortably. The forgery’s partner is not squeaking past a test; it is passing it by a factor of two, on a quantity with no information in it.

That is worth stating as a general caution rather than as a fact about this forgery. A threshold set by sampling noise does not protect against structure that is not the structure being looked for. The band in every figure here is what a correlation wanders by when there is nothing there; it says nothing about what a correlation does when there is something there that is not the thing being measured.

A lattice with an error that repeats every 8 organsThe autocorrelation of 759 divergence angles from a kinematic lattice at a divergence of 137.8261° and a rise of 0.005, with 0.5° of scatter on each azimuth. There is no placement rule anywhere in it: node i is put at exactly i times the divergence and then displaced. The only thing that differs between this figure and the control is the structure of the displacement — here, an error that repeats every 8 organs at period 8, weight 0.9. The largest comb mean is 0.860 against a sampling band of 0.073, and the readout returns 8/10.-0.50000.500125810131621242629lag, in internodescorrelation between a divergence and the one that many internodes later816242101826reads 8/10 · no rule in itmain 0.860 · band 0.073sampling bandkinematic lattice · 759 anglesgenerated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 3 The same forgery, driven harder — nine tenths of the displacement is the repeating pattern. The main comb rises to 0.75, above the rule’s own 0.64, and the junk classes rise with it: now seven of the eight stems report, naming 10, 12, 10, 12, 12, 12 and 11. Making the forgery stronger does not make its partner more nearly right; it makes the wrong partner more confident, and it adds an eleventh answer to the list.

The check that catches it is a second specimen

Everything above is invisible from one stem. A botanist handed a single forged angle sequence would read a clean comb at spacing 8, a partner clearing the band, and would report a pair — with no way to know that a second plant of the same species, disturbed the same way, would report a different one.

So this essay changes the specification, and it changes it in the direction the survey thread has been pushed twice already. The pair must be read on several stems, and the readings must agree.

That is not a statistical nicety about averaging out noise. It is the only test that separates a lattice from a periodicity, because the lattice is a property the stems share and the periodicity is a property each stem draws for itself. The rule’s own stems agree with each other and with the position counter; the forgery agrees with nothing.

The angles against the positions, rise by risefive rises, five seeded stems each. A filled mark is a run whose angle readout returned the pair the position counter finds in the same stem; an open mark is a refusal. At 0.032 the counter says 3/5 and the angles agree on 0 of 5, refusing 5. At 0.013 the counter says 5/8 and the angles agree on 5 of 5. At 0.01 the counter says 5/8 and the angles agree on 5 of 5. At 0.005 the counter says 8/13 and the angles agree on 5 of 5. At 0.008 the counter says 5/8 and the angles agree on 2 of 5, refusing 3. The two instruments share no code path: one is given a list of angles, the other a list of coordinates.risefive stems, read from the angles alonethe position counter0.032refusedrefusedrefusedrefusedrefused3 and 50.0135/85/85/85/85/85 and 80.015/85/85/85/85/85 and 80.0058/138/138/138/138/138 and 130.008refusedrefused5/8refused5/85 and 8seeded at 137.3°, 900 nodes per stemfilled where the two instruments agree
Fig. 4 What agreement looks like when it is real: five rises, five seeded stems each, read from the angles alone and checked against a counter that is shown coordinates and no angles at all. Where the readout reports it reports the same pair on every stem, and the two instruments share no code path. The forged stems above fail both halves of this at once.

The site has had the habit for four phases and it was never justified this sharply. The reason to run five seeds was that any one of them might be unlucky. The reason now is that a single stem cannot distinguish a pattern from a disturbance that repeats.

Why the forger cannot simply be told the second number

The obvious repair, from the forger’s side, is to use a disturbance that repeats at 13 as well as at 8. That is possible and it is the subject of the next essay, where it is built out of something a plant plausibly has rather than out of two periods chosen by hand. But it is worth noticing first what happens with a periodicity at 13 alone, because the answer is not what a reader would guess.

A repeating error the search cannot nameThe autocorrelation of 759 divergence angles from a kinematic lattice at a divergence of 137.8261° and a rise of 0.005, with 0.5° of scatter on each azimuth. There is no placement rule anywhere in it: node i is put at exactly i times the divergence and then displaced. The only thing that differs between this figure and the control is the structure of the displacement — here, an error that repeats every 13 organs at period 13, weight 0.7. The largest comb mean is 0.117 against a sampling band of 0.073, and the readout refuses.-0.50000.500125810131621242629lag, in internodescorrelation between a divergence and the one that many internodes laterrefusedmain 0.117 · band 0.073sampling bandkinematic lattice · 759 anglesgenerated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 5 A disturbance repeating every thirteen organs, at the same strength as the one that forged a comb at eight. The readout finds nothing to name. The spacing it settles on is 10 rather than 13, because 13 is outside the range it can return at all, and the comb it assembles there averages 0.117 against a clearance of 0.126. It refuses on all eight stems, and the average across them is 0.049 against a band of 0.073. The disturbance is exactly as strong and exactly as periodic as the one above. The instrument simply cannot see it.

The reason is the readout’s own arithmetic, and it is the same constraint that turns up from the other direction in the essays about the fine end of the ladder. A comb has to have three teeth inside the lag window before it is called a comb — two lags at a common spacing is a coincidence available at every spacing — and the window is thirty lags. So the largest spacing the search can return is ten. A period of 13 has teeth at 13, 26 and 39, and the third is outside the window; the search never proposes 13 as a spacing, so it never finds the comb that is sitting there.

This cuts both ways and both are worth having.

For the forgery: a disturbance repeating at the larger parastichy number is invisible, so a forger has to know the smaller one specifically. Knowing “some number in this plant’s arrangement” is not enough.

For the instrument: there is a whole class of real periodicity the readout would miss, and the miss is silent. A stem whose disturbance repeats at 13 would be reported as having no comb, which under the previous phase’s reading would have been evidence that no rule made it.

Which offsets give short hops, at a rise of 0.005The two lowest points are at 8 and 13, and those are the parastichy numbers. Offset 1 is high because a hop of one node is at least the rise, which is what makes a stem easier to count than a disc.0123102030index offsetmedian hop between node i and node i+m23300 nodes, 34 offsets triedshortest at 2 and 3
Fig. 6 The lattice’s own offsets at this rise, ordered by how far apart the two organs they connect actually are. The three shortest are 13, 8 and 5, and the counter’s pair is 8 and 13 — so the numbers the forgery has to know are not arbitrary, they are the short hops of the arrangement it is imitating. What the previous figure shows is that knowing the shortest of them is not enough to forge a reading, and what the next essay shows is that knowing two is.

Could a plant’s disturbance have a period?

The forgery above was built by hand, and a forgery built by hand is only worth worrying about if something in the world could build it. Three candidates are worth naming, and the third is the one that matters.

A daily cycle beating against the plastochron. Organs are produced at roughly regular intervals, and the environment varies on a twenty-four-hour cycle, so a plant producing one organ every fraction of a day would receive a disturbance that repeats every few organs. This is real and it is not the threat: the period it produces is set by the ratio of two times, which has no reason to be a whole number and every reason to drift as the plant grows. A period that drifts is a memory with extra steps — the correlation smears across neighbouring lags and the comb loses its teeth.

An oscillation in the meristem itself. Some models of primordium initiation have a genuine clock in them, and a clock with a period of a few plastochrons would put structure at the lag of that period. Again the number is set by the clock rather than by the pattern, so it would have to coincide with the smaller parastichy number by accident — and it would go on repeating at the same lag while the pattern climbed the ladder and its parastichy numbers changed, which is a prediction a real stem could refute in one reading.

And the one that is not an accident: the neighbours. The organs that touch an organ are, by the definition of a parastichy pair, the ones m and n places back in the order of production. So any disturbance transmitted through contact — a physical push, a shared vascular connection, a local depletion of something — is correlated at exactly the lags the readout examines, and it is correlated at them because they are the lattice’s, not by coincidence.

That third candidate is the real threat and it is the subject of the next essay. It is worth seeing clearly what makes it different from the forgery here: this essay’s disturbance knows one number, chosen by whoever built it. A neighbour-transmitted disturbance knows both numbers, and does not have to be told them, because it lives on the arrangement whose numbers they are.

Which also disposes of the reassurance the previous section might otherwise offer. Reading several stems catches a forger who has to pick a period, because the period is a free parameter and the seven junk classes come out differently each time. It does not catch a disturbance whose period is a property of the lattice, because then every stem of the species has the same one.

A lattice is not a list of periods

The title is the point and it is worth stating as a claim rather than as a summary.

A phyllotactic lattice is a set of points on a cylinder with a metric on it. Its parastichy numbers are the index offsets whose two organs come out closest together on the surface — which is a fact about the geometry, and the reason the numbers are Fibonacci is that a nearly-golden divergence makes those the short hops. The offsets are related to each other: 21 is 8 plus 13 because the vector to the 21-neighbour is the sum of the vectors to the other two, and this site measured two phases ago that every contact family but the two smallest is a sum of two others.

Every family but two is the sum of two othersFour heads and the contact families each actually has. An arc arrives at every family that is the sum of two smaller ones; the two with no arc arriving are the generators, and on every head they are the two smallest. whorled, 144°: 2, 3, 5 — golden, 137.508°: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89 — Lucas, 99.502°: 11, 18, 29, 47, 76 — rational, 137.5°: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89 — 137.0°: 8, 13, 21, 29, 50, 71, 92, 113. So once a pair is counted the rest is arithmetic, and a third counted family is a prediction rather than a second measurement.whorled, 144°from 2 and 3+2235golden, 137.508°from 8 and 13+8+13+21+3481321345589Lucas, 99.502°from 11 and 18+11+18+291118294776rational, 137.5°from 8 and 13+8+13+21+3481321345589137.0°from 8 and 13+8+8+21+21+21+218132129507192113contact families above 2% of all cell contactsfilled dots are the two that are not sums
Fig. 7 The property a real lattice has and a list of periods does not: every contact family above the two smallest is the sum of two others, so the whole set is generated by two numbers. The forgery has one number and produces a set generated by nothing — eight residue classes with unrelated heights, of which the readout picks whichever won this time.

A periodic disturbance has none of that structure. It has one period and seven accidents. It reproduces the symptom the readout was built to detect and none of the arithmetic underneath it, and the arithmetic is what the second comb was found to be made of one phase ago: the second comb sits at the difference of the pair because correlation travels between neighbours and a one-step chain reaches offsets a·m + b·n with b = 0 or ±1.

The order of the angles carries the countThree stems, each held at a fixed rise so the pattern sits on one rung of the ladder. At a rise of 0.032 the positions count 3 and 5 spirals and the angles peak at 3; At a rise of 0.013 the positions count 5 and 8 spirals and the angles peak at 5; At a rise of 0.005 the positions count 8 and 13 spirals and the angles peak at 8. Each panel marks the peak and its multiples; the pale strip is what an uncorrelated sequence of this length gives.rise 0.032counted 3/5angles say 336912150.5rise 0.013counted 5/8angles say 55101520250.5rise 0.005counted 8/13angles say 8816240.5151015202530lag, in internodescorrelation between a divergence and the one that many internodes later3 runs per rise · 320 internodes eachthe counter is never shown a position
Fig. 8 The single-number version of the readout on real stems, which is what the previous phase’s period thread produced and what the two-comb reading was built to improve on. The improvement matters more than it looked: this figure’s quantity is the one a periodic disturbance forges, and the pair is the one it cannot.

So the forgery in this essay is a forgery of a statistic, not of a lattice. That is a real weakness of the statistic and it is why the previous phase’s control was too weak. It is also why the repair is available: demand the part of the statistic that reflects the arithmetic, on more than one plant.

What the specification now says

Three requirements, each added by a measurement rather than by caution.

Several stems, and the readings must agree. From this essay. A single stem cannot separate a lattice from a period, and the disagreement between forged stems is visible with as few as three.

The angle reading must agree with a position count on the same stem. From the previous phase, and now doing much more work than it was asked to. The forged stems all have the same positions and therefore the same counted pair, so the counter contradicts four of the five that report.

And a refusal is not evidence of anything. From the figure at 13 above. The readout’s window means a periodicity at the larger parastichy number leaves no trace, so “no comb” cannot be read as “no periodicity”, and — under the previous phase’s interpretation — could not have been read as “no rule” either.

What the positions say, and what the angles sayEach row is one stem at one rise. The left column is the parastichy pair counted from the coordinates; the right is the single number read out of the divergence angles alone, over 5 runs. On the Lucas ladder — 3/4, 4/7, 7/11 — the readout returns the smaller number too, so it is reading the lattice rather than Fibonacci. The last row is the one that matters: at a rise of 0.05 the positions give an unarguable 2/3 and the angles give 4, 23, 12, 2, 9 — all five wrong, and all five refused.counted from the pointsread from the anglesgolden, rise 0.0323 / 535/5 clear · peak 0.72golden, rise 0.0135 / 855/5 clear · peak 0.59golden, rise 0.0058 / 1385/5 clear · peak 0.78Lucas, rise 0.0323 / 435/5 clear · peak 0.52Lucas, rise 0.024 / 745/5 clear · peak 0.45Lucas, rise 0.0087 / 1175/5 clear · peak 0.59golden, rise 0.052 / 34, 23, 12, 2, 9refused — peak 0.13 under 0.345 runs per rise · the readout sees a list of angles and nothing elsethe refusal is the gate working
Fig. 9 The two instruments against each other on the site’s own stems, which is the agreement the forged arrangements break. It is worth looking at again with the forgery in mind: what makes this figure evidence is not that the angles return a pair but that two instruments sharing no code path return the same one, on stems that share nothing but their species.
A memory manufactures nothingThe largest comb mean found in a kinematic lattice whose azimuth errors are an AR(1) process, against the coefficient of that process, over eight seeds at each point. The dashed line is where the rule's own stems sit, at 0.64; the shaded strip is three sampling bands. Every point is inside the strip — 0.028, 0.026, 0.022, 0.014, 0.015 at ρ = 0.3, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9, 0.97 — and the readout returns nothing on 40 runs out of 40. A correlated error is not a periodic one.00.2000.4000.6000.3000.5000.7000.9000.970how strongly each error remembers the last, ρthe largest comb mean anywhere in the thirty lagsthe rule's own stems: 0.64three sampling bands0.0280.0260.0220.0140.015kinematic lattice · AR(1) errorgenerated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 10 And the shape that does none of this, for contrast. A memory of any length leaves the readout with nothing to find, which is why the worry the phase plan carried for three phases turned out to be the wrong worry. The dangerous disturbance is not the one that lasts; it is the one that comes back.
Which arrangements carry a comb, and what each one reportsThe largest comb mean in five arrangements at a rise of 0.005, all read by the same instrument at the same length, with the sampling band of 0.073 marked. Only the first is a placement rule; the other four are kinematic lattices with no rule in them, differing from one another only in how their azimuth errors are structured. Independent errors and errors with a memory leave nothing to read. A repeating error puts up a comb and names a partner that is not the lattice's. Errors inherited from the contact neighbours reproduce both the comb and the pair.three sampling bandsthe placement rule0.6428/13independent errors0.031refusedan error with a memory0.014refusedan error that repeats0.4338/10, 8/12errors passed between neighbours0.5538/13one rule, four kinematic latticesgenerated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 11 The five arrangements of this thread, with this essay’s in the fourth bar. It puts up a comb of the right size and reports a pair that is wrong on every stem. The fifth bar is the one that gets both right, and it is built out of something a plant has rather than something a forger chose.
A lattice with an error inherited from the two contact neighboursThe autocorrelation of 759 divergence angles from a kinematic lattice at a divergence of 137.8261° and a rise of 0.005, with 0.5° of scatter on each azimuth. There is no placement rule anywhere in it: node i is put at exactly i times the divergence and then displaced. The only thing that differs between this figure and the control is the structure of the displacement — here, an error inherited from the two contact neighbours at coupling 0.7. The largest comb mean is 0.514 against a sampling band of 0.073, and the readout returns 8/13.-0.50000.500125810131621242629lag, in internodescorrelation between a divergence and the one that many internodes later816245132129reads 8/13 · no rule in itmain 0.514 · band 0.073sampling bandkinematic lattice · 759 anglesgenerated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 12 The forgery that does know both numbers, and does not have to be told them. It is the next essay’s, and it is what a periodicity would look like if the period were a property of the lattice rather than a parameter of the forger.

Shares its objects with

Essays that name at least two of the same things, and that neither author linked.

  • The control a survey would need — both name autocorrelation, counting blind, discrimination, evidence, identifiability, measurement, null model, parastichy pair, specimen
  • The rung was not the instrument — both name artefact, autocorrelation, counting blind, divergence angle, ensemble, identifiability, lattice offset, measurement, parastichy pair
  • What a forgery has to know — both name autocorrelation, discrimination, evidence, identifiability, lattice offset, measurement, noise, null model, parastichy pair
  • What the pair costs — both name autocorrelation, counting blind, discrimination, divergence angle, ensemble, identifiability, measurement, parastichy pair, specimen
  • A comb is evidence of a rule — both name autocorrelation, discrimination, divergence angle, evidence, lattice, measurement, noise, parastichy pair
  • A refusal with a reason — both name autocorrelation, discrimination, divergence angle, ensemble, identifiability, measurement, parastichy pair, specimen

Named objects

A flat tag is an object no other essay names yet.

ArtefactAutocorrelationCounting blindDiscriminationDivergence angleEnsembleEvidenceIdentifiabilityLatticeLattice offsetMeasurementNoiseNull modelParastichy pairSpecimen