The window nobody moved
Worth reading first: The damage has a period · The organ that was taken away.
Three numbers stand between a cut stem and every statement this thread makes about it. The run length — three hundred organs — decides how far the disturbance is followed. The offset decides which cuts there are to follow. The reading window — a hundred and twenty organs at the top of the run — decides what is read once they have been.
Two of the three have been varied. Doubling the run length moved nineteen of twenty-four onsets by more than twenty organs and changed the periodicity verdict on three rows. Sweeping the offset rather than sampling it turned out to decide which cuts wreck at all.
The third has never been moved
A hundred and twenty organs, inherited from the file that reads rigid lags and kept for a stated reason: the quantity is a spread within a residue class, and a short window would make every class look constant.
That reason is correct and it is a prediction. Nobody had checked it, and checking it is cheap — the runs are already grown, so reading them at a different window costs a read rather than a stem.
What the window does
A wrecked stem’s profile is folded onto the lag it kept, giving one residue class per lag. The spread is the worst class’s standard deviation over the window, and a row is called periodic when that spread is under ten degrees.
So the window is the sample the spread is taken over. It is the last N organs of the run, which makes it a tail rather than a slice — and that turns out to matter.
Three windows, ninety readings
Sixty organs, a hundred and twenty, and a hundred and eighty, at both run lengths, over the whole census. Thirty rows by three windows by two lengths is ninety readings, and they cost about four minutes because nothing has to be regrown.
A hundred and twenty is the middle of the three rather than an end of them, which is the same design the falloff exponent sweep uses for the same reason: a sweep starting at the working value can only ever say the answer moves one way.
What the prediction said would happen
That a narrow window makes things look steadier. If a class is drifting or noisy, reading less of it gives a smaller spread and more rows fall under the ten-degree line.
That is what happens. At sixty organs twenty-eight of the thirty rows are periodic; at a hundred and twenty, twenty-five; at a hundred and eighty, twenty-five. The narrow window is the generous one.
What it did not say
The prediction was about degree and the finding is about kind. On the rows that keep one verdict at every window, the spread is very nearly proportional to the window: 0.8, 1.6 and 2.4 degrees on one row; 0.3, 0.7 and 1.0 on another; 3.0, 6.1 and 9.1 on a third.
A spread over a sample of a steady quantity is flat in the sample size. A spread that triples when the window triples is measuring a drift, and that is a different finding from the one the prediction contained.
And three rows change side
g026 cut at offset 4, g010 at offset 4 and g010 at offset 5 are periodic at sixty
organs and not at a hundred and twenty.
Their spreads do not scale. They go 5.1, 10.3 and 105.5 degrees; 3.9, 69.6 and 163.3; and 4.0, 69.5 and 162.9. That is not three times when the window triples; it is twenty and forty times, which is a different effect wearing the same units.
Why they do that
Because the window is the tail of the run. A window of a hundred and eighty organs on a run of three hundred begins at organ 120, and these three rows have the census’s latest onsets — 229, 230 and 239 organs at the working window.
So the widest window starts a hundred organs below the point at which the profile settles into the arrangement it keeps. It is reading the disturbance healing and calling it the pattern.
Two effects, running opposite ways
That gives the reading its shape. Widening the window makes a genuinely periodic row look worse in proportion, because it is measuring more of a slow drift. Widening it past a row’s onset makes an unsettled row look far worse all at once, because it is measuring the transient.
Both are real and both are about the window rather than about the stem. They can be told apart by whether the spread scales: the drift multiplies by about three, the transient by twenty or forty.
So the classification is partly the window’s
The sentence the reading supports is narrow. Twenty-five of thirty rows are periodic at the working window; twenty-eight are at sixty organs; twenty-five are at a hundred and eighty. The verdict on three of thirty rows is decided by the window.
That is not a large fraction and it is not nothing. It is the same order as the three rows the run length moves, and it is a different three: one row overlaps.
What the ten degrees is doing
The threshold deserves its own look. A row is periodic when its worst class spread is under ten degrees, and ten was chosen because the measured spreads separate into two populations with a gap: 0.12 to 6.09 degrees on the periodic rows and 10.3 to 156.9 on the five that are not.
That gap is real at the working window. At sixty organs the same rows read 0.1 to 3.0 and 4.0 to 149.6, and at a hundred and eighty they read 0.2 to 9.1 and 12.2 to 163.3. The gap survives all three, which is the reassuring part.
But it is a line on a quantity that scales
The threshold is a fixed number of degrees on a quantity proportional to the window. So at sixty organs it admits a drift rate three times steeper than at a hundred and eighty.
Nothing is wrong with that as a definition — it says this class moves less than ten degrees over the stretch that is read and it means it. It is not the window-free property the word periodic suggests, and the collection has used the word without the qualification.
What would be window-free
A rate rather than a spread. Divide each class’s spread by the number of organs it was read over and the quantity stops depending on the window, at least on the drifting rows.
That is not proposed as a replacement here, because changing a definition mid-collection makes every earlier number incomparable. It is written down as what a window-free version would look like, so that anybody adopting it knows what they are giving up.
The two windows the collection already had
This is not the first time a window has decided something here. A residual that looked ordered turned out to be the window it was measured over, and a fragility attributed to a lattice turned out to belong to the reading.
Three instruments, three windows, three results that were partly about the reading rather than the object. That is a pattern in this collection and it is worth naming as one.
Why a tail rather than a slice
One design choice worth defending. The window is the last N organs rather than a stretch in the middle, because the thing being measured is what the stem ends up doing.
That choice is what makes the interaction with the onset possible. A window taken in the middle would have a fixed relationship to nothing; a window taken at the end has a fixed relationship to the end of the run and a moving one to the onset.
A window as long as the run is not a window
The instrument below this one takes the last N rows of a profile, and a slice longer than the array is the whole array. So a window of a thousand on a run of three hundred returns a reading over the whole profile, with an onset at its first organ by construction.
Nothing beneath refuses it. The refusal is in the file that moves the window, which is where it belongs, and it is checked rather than assumed — the same shape as an onset reported at the last organ of a run, which is a run length dressed as a measurement.
What the ninety readings cost
About four minutes, because profileAt regrows a stem and the readings at three windows
share the same grown runs through the cache underneath.
That is the cheapest instrument variation this collection has run and it produced a finding. The comparison is with the run-length variation, which needed sixty fresh runs and two minutes, and with the offset sweep, which needed 1,890 cut stems and an hour.
Why nobody had done it
The honest answer is that the setting had a reason attached to it and a reason reads like a justification. A hundred and twenty organs was chosen so that a class would have fifteen samples at a lag of eight, which is a good argument, and a good argument for a setting is what stops anybody varying it.
The two settings that had been varied were varied because somebody doubted them. This one nobody doubted, which is exactly the condition under which a setting goes unchecked for several rounds of work.
What is still not varied
The window’s placement is fixed at the end of the run and its shape is a flat count of organs. A window weighted towards the newest organs, or one placed relative to the onset rather than to the end, would both be defensible and neither has been tried.
Placing it relative to the onset is the interesting one, because it would remove the interaction that produces the three movers — and removing it is not obviously right, since whether a row has settled by the end of its run is a real property of the row.
What the three movers have in common
They are not three arbitrary rows. All three keep a lag of 5, all three are on the golden branch, and all three have onsets past organ 220 at the working window — the three latest in the census.
That is a coherent group and it says the effect is not a lottery. A row whose pattern begins late has less pattern in the run than the window asks for, and widening the window reaches further into the part that has none.
And what they do at the longer run
The obvious repair for a window that reaches too far back is a longer run, and it works. At six hundred organs the same three rows read 5.1, 10.3 and 15.4 degrees, and 3.9, 7.9 and 11.8, and 4.0, 8.1 and 12.2.
Those scale. So on a run twice as long the transient is far enough below every window that what is left is the drift, and the three rows join the population that behaves proportionally. The interaction is between the window and the run length together, not between the window and the stem.
Which is a small piece of good news
It means the classification is not unstable in some deep way. It is unstable exactly where a window reaches into a transient, and that is a condition anybody can check for by comparing the window’s start against the onset.
The check is arithmetic and costs nothing: a window of N organs on a run of M begins at organ M − N, and a row whose onset is above that is being read partly on its disturbance. Nothing in the thread had been making it.
The setting that is still doing the most work
Of the three numbers, the run length remains the one that moves the most. Doubling it moved nineteen of twenty-four onsets by more than twenty organs, took the quoted range of onsets from 7–303 to 28–473, and changed three rows’ periodicity in both directions.
The window moves three rows in one direction and scales a spread. The offset decides which rows exist. Ranking them by how much they change is not the same as ranking them by how much they matter, and the window’s finding — that the quantity underneath is drifting — is the one that changes how a reader should hear the word periodic.
What a reader should carry
That every verdict in this thread is periodic over the last hundred and twenty organs rather than periodic, and that the difference shows up on three of thirty rows.
And that the prediction attached to the setting was right — a narrow window does make everything look steadier — while being right for a reason nobody had stated, which is that the quantity it reads is drifting rather than noisy.
What the picture at the top shows
Thirty rows, one per wrecked cut, and three columns, one per window. A filled cell is a cut whose worst class spread is under ten degrees.
Most rows are three filled cells or three pale ones. Three rows are filled at sixty organs and pale at a hundred and twenty and a hundred and eighty, and they are drawn in a second tone. The numbers on the right are each row’s spread at each window, and reading across them is where the proportionality shows.
The one line
The reading window was set at a hundred and twenty organs for a stated reason and never moved: at sixty organs twenty-eight of the census’s thirty cuts are periodic, at a hundred and twenty twenty-five, and at a hundred and eighty twenty-five.
Three rows change side, all of them losing periodicity as the window widens, and all three are rows whose widest window begins below their own onset.
What links here
Computed from the collection, not written here: the essays that point at this one.
Shares its objects with
Essays that name at least two of the same things, and that neither author linked.
- Three rows a window moves — both name artefact, claim testing, damage profile, honest limits, instrument setting, measurement error, onset, periodicity, reading window, residue class
- A cycle sums to a whole turn — both name artefact, claim testing, damage profile, honest limits, measurement error, residue class
- The rows nobody added up — both name ablation, claim testing, damage profile, honest limits, measurement error, residue class
- A list that was a rounding — both name artefact, claim testing, honest limits, measurement error, resolution
- A period the grid invented — both name ablation, artefact, claim testing, honest limits, resolution
- A window nobody aligned — both name ablation, artefact, claim testing, honest limits, resolution
Named objects
A flat tag is an object no other essay names yet.
AblationArtefactClaim testingDamage profileHonest limitsInstrument settingMeasurement errorOnsetPeriodicityReading windowResidue classResolution