The claims, measured

The ablation a plant would survive

The intervention proposed earlier returns a spiral count from a yes-or-no answer, needs no protractor, and was specified at one rise. Measured across the ladder it acquires three conditions a real experiment would have to meet — and one of them is that the plant must not be too coarsely patterned, or nothing will go wrong at all.

Worth reading first: The survey this site cannot do · The organ that was taken away · Counting the spirals.

This site has one experiment it can specify rather than merely wish for. Take a plant with a settled spiral arrangement, remove a single primordium, and record whether the next one appears where it was going to. The number of positions for which the answer is no is the larger parastichy number — a spiral count with no angles, no coordinates and no counting of rows.

It was specified at one rise, on one kind of stem. Measured across three rungs and through a transition it survives, and it acquires conditions. This is the specification with those conditions in it.

What the experiment measures, restated

The prediction is a step. Removing an organ k places back moves the next organ by tens of degrees for every k out to n, and by less than a degree for every k past it.

The next organ moves for the last 13, and for no othersOne row per organ removed, counted back from the tip of a stem at a rise of 0.005 whose counted pair is 8 and 13. Removing any of the last 13 moves the next organ by 2.6° to 167.6°; removing an older one moves it by at most 0.47°, which is under the azimuth grid. The boundary is at 13, and 13 is the larger parastichy number — so the experiment counts the spirals without measuring an angle.organ removed, counted back from the tiphow far the next organ moves, in degrees1138.0°284.4°353.4°4167.6°529.3°6101.7°7120.7°816.4°9165.2°1056.7°1181.1°12140.6°132.6°— the front ends here140.0°150.0°160.5°rise 0.005 · pair 8/13generated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 1 The measurement as the rule produces it. Displacements from a couple of degrees to the whole circle inside the front, and under a degree outside it — a step sharp enough that no threshold between one degree and a hundred changes the answer.

The rival account — organs at exact multiples of a divergence, with errors passed between neighbours — predicts zero at every offset, by construction rather than by fitting, since in it no organ’s intended position is a function of whether an earlier organ exists. So this is a one-sided test with an effect size of tens of degrees against a null of tenths.

Why this experiment rather than a photograph

The case for spending a scalpel on a plant that could simply be counted is worth restating, because it is the whole reason the specification exists.

Every other instrument on this site reads an arrangement that is already there. A counter shown the positions returns a pair; a spectrum of the divergence sequence returns a pair; a fit to the hop lengths returns the rise and the divergence. All of them are measurements of form, and the site’s own results have shown, twice, that form does not separate the accounts: a kinematic lattice with transported errors reproduces the comb, the second comb and the pair, and the ratio that once separated them follows the disturbance rather than the rule.

The intervention is not a measurement of form. It asks what the plant does when its arrangement is changed, and the two accounts differ about that by construction — one has a rule that recomputes, the other has positions that were never computed. This is the only observable on this site that a photograph cannot supply, which is why it is worth the conditions.

Condition one: the plant must be finely enough patterned to be damaged

The intervention has a second half — whether the stem recovers — and that half is where the ladder matters.

At the 8/13 rung, five of the thirteen offsets never recover in three hundred organs. At 5/8, two of eight. At 3/5, none: every single-organ ablation is undone within forty organs, at three cut points four dozen organs apart.

On a rung the response is a run of offsets; near a transition it has a hole. One row per rise, from 0.032 at the top to 0.005 at the bottom, and one column per offset: the organ one place back at the left, 14 places back at the right. A cell is filled where removing that organ moves the next organ by more than 2.5°, and empty where it does not. On a rung the filled cells are a run from one to the larger parastichy number — 5, 8, 13 at the pairs shown on the left. Every rise shown here is in the middle of its rung, so every row is a run and nothing past it is felt — what happens between the rungs is a separate matter.
Fig. 2 The response at three rungs a rung apart. The number of offsets that are felt grows as the pattern gets finer, which is the quantity condition one is stated in.
The band that never heals is what two fixed edges leave over. Each row is one rung. A stem is grown to 400 organs, one organ is removed, and the stem is followed for 300 more. A filled mark is an offset the stem recovers from, with the number of organs it took printed above it; an open ring is an offset it never recovers from. At the 3/5 rung, a front of 5, every offset heals. At the 5/8 rung, a front of 8, the offsets 4, 5 never heal. At the 8/13 rung, a front of 13, the offsets 4, 6, 7, 8, 9 never heal. What is the same at every rung is the two edges: the first three offsets heal, and so do the last few of the front. What is left in the middle is the band, and it widens because the front does.
Fig. 3 Why the same experiment on two plants can produce opposite conclusions about how robust the rule is. The band that never heals is what two fixed edges leave over, so a front of five has no middle and a front of thirteen has a third of itself in the middle.

For an experimenter that is a selection criterion, and it is the first thing the specification did not have. A study of whether ablation permanently disturbs phyllotaxis, done on material with a low count — a young shoot, a small cone, a seedling — would return no and would be right about its material and wrong about the rule.

The counts to work with are 8/13 and finer. Below that, healing is the expected outcome, and the count the work was done at has to be reported with it so that two results can be told apart.

Which condition binds on which half

The two conditions are not conditions on one experiment, and saying so changes who can run it.

The intervention has two results. The first is a count: how many offsets move the next organ, which equals the larger parastichy number. The second is a susceptibility: which removals the pattern never undoes.

Condition one binds only on the second. A plant counted 3 and 5 has a front of five organs and a perfectly clean step — the displacements run from a few degrees to a whole divergence inside the front and under 1.4° outside it — so it returns the count as well as any finer plant does. What it will not return is a permanent disturbance, because a front of five has no middle to sever.

So a coarse specimen is not an unsuitable subject; it is a suitable subject for one of the two readings. The specification should say which reading a given plant can supply rather than admitting or excluding the plant, and the deciding number — the count — is readable from a photograph before anything is cut.

On a rung the response is a run of offsets; near a transition it has a hole. One row per rise, from 0.032 at the top to 0.013 at the bottom, and one column per offset: the organ one place back at the left, ten places back at the right. A cell is filled where removing that organ moves the next organ by more than 2.5°, and empty where it does not. On a rung the filled cells are a run from one to the larger parastichy number — 5, 8 at the pairs shown on the left. Between a rise of 0.02 and 0.02 the run ends at 5 and one more cell is filled at 7, with the offsets between them quiet to under a degree. That isolated column is one place inside the larger number of the pair the stem is climbing towards.
Fig. 4 The coarse half of the ladder on its own. A specimen here still answers the first question the experiment asks — where the response ends — and cannot answer the second.

That also says which experiment to run first on scarce material. The count needs sixteen apices and any rung; the susceptibility needs a fine rung as well. If a laboratory has one species and it is coarse, the count is available and the robustness question is not.

Condition two: not near a transition

The clean form of the result — the response is the offsets one to n, and nothing past — holds in the middle of a rung. Within about a fifth of a rung of a transition the response is an interval plus one isolated offset, with silent organs in between: at a rise of 0.008 the felt offsets are one to eight and twelve, with nine, ten and eleven moving the next organ by under a degree.

That condition has a property the first one does not: the experiment checks it itself. A plant in the middle of a rung gives a run of felt offsets and silence past it; a plant near a transition gives the run, a stretch of silence, and then a lone offset felt as strongly as anything. So there is no need to establish in advance where on its rung a specimen sits — the shape of the answer says.

The cost of the self-check is stated elsewhere and it is small: cut past the first silence rather than stopping at it, which is four more apices at a count of eight. What comes back is either a clean run — the plant is mid-rung and the count is the run’s length — or a run with a lone responder behind it, in which case the count is still the run’s length and the plant is additionally known to be approaching its next rung.

So condition two is not a condition at all once the design cuts past the first silence. It is a second reading that the same apices supply, and the only way to fail it is to stop cutting too early.

On a rung the response is a run of offsets; near a transition it has a hole. One row per rise, from 0.011 at the top to 0.006 at the bottom, and one column per offset: the organ one place back at the left, 14 places back at the right. A cell is filled where removing that organ moves the next organ by more than 2.5°, and empty where it does not. On a rung the filled cells are a run from one to the larger parastichy number — 8, 12 at the pairs shown on the left. Between a rise of 0.009 and 0.007 the run ends at 8 and one more cell is filled at 12, with the offsets between them quiet to under a degree. That isolated column is one place inside the larger number of the pair the stem is climbing towards.
Fig. 5 The response through a transition. The run ends at the count the plant has; the lone cell past it is one place inside the count it is about to have, and it is as strongly felt as anything inside the front.

An experimenter who took the largest felt offset as the count would report thirteen minus one on a plant with eight rows. The condition is therefore: test the offsets past the front as well, and report the response as a set rather than as a maximum.

Done that way the transition is not a nuisance but a second measurement — the lone offset names the pair the plant is climbing towards, which is information no photograph of the same plant contains.

Condition three: the count is the yeses, not the largest yes

Which follows from the second, and is the sentence the original specification got slightly wrong.

In the middle of a rung the two are the same number. Near a transition they are not: the count is the length of the run from the tip, and the largest felt offset is one place inside the incoming count. Reported as a run, the answer is right at every rise measured; reported as a maximum, it is wrong at four of thirteen.

On a rung the response is a run of offsets; near a transition it has a hole. One row per rise, from 0.013 at the top to 0.005 at the bottom, and one column per offset: the organ one place back at the left, twelve places back at the right. A cell is filled where removing that organ moves the next organ by more than 2.5°, and empty where it does not. On a rung the filled cells are a run from one to the larger parastichy number — 8, 12 at the pairs shown on the left. Every rise shown here is in the middle of its rung, so every row is a run and nothing past it is felt — what happens between the rungs is a separate matter.
Fig. 6 Two rungs, both fine enough for the count by intervention. In the middle of a rung the felt offsets are an unbroken interval, which is what makes the yeses countable.

The three questions, and what each one is worth

Setting the questions out in order of value rather than in order of cost is worth doing once, because they are usually run together and they are not equally important.

The count by intervention. A parastichy count obtained without counting. This is the least surprising of the three and the most useful, because it is a number an experimenter can compare directly with a photograph of the same plant. Agreement is a check on the whole picture; disagreement is a defect in one of two instruments, and cheap to chase.

The boundary as evidence about mechanism. The step’s existence, rather than its position, is what separates the accounts. It is worth more than the count and is harder to report convincingly, because the null it is being tested against — no response at any offset — has to be established with the plant’s own scatter measured on the same material.

The second attractor. Whether a cut in the middle of the front leaves the plant permanently on a different arrangement is the most striking prediction here and the least likely to survive contact with a real meristem, because it is the one that depends on the model’s behaviour hundreds of organs after the intervention. It also has the most distinctive signature: a two-ranked arrangement with a slow twist, whose block length is the plant’s old smaller count.

An experiment that answered only the first question would still be worth doing. An experiment that answered the third would be remarkable, and it would take a season.

What it costs in specimens

Three questions, three sample sizes, and they differ by an order of magnitude.

Is the response a step at all? One specimen, if the ablations can be done at enough offsets on it. The effect is tens of degrees against a null of tenths, so a single clean series of fifteen ablations either shows the step or does not.

Where does the step end? The same series, read as a run. The boundary is one organ wide in the model, so the precision is set by how many offsets are tried rather than by how many plants.

Does the stem recover? This is the expensive one. Recovery has to be watched for over roughly three hundred organs after the cut, which on a real apex is a season rather than an afternoon, and the fates of neighbouring offsets differ — one offset heals in seven organs and its neighbour never does. A study of the recovery question needs several plants per offset and a plant that will keep producing organs for long enough to see it.

What would refute the rule

Worth stating plainly, because an experiment whose every outcome is consistent with the model is not an experiment.

A response with no step. Displacements of tens of degrees at offsets far behind the front — thirty, fifty — would say the rule’s neighbourhood is not what it is modelled as.

A response that ends at the wrong number. A run ending at the smaller parastichy number, or at neither, on a plant well inside a rung.

On a rung the response is a run of offsets; near a transition it has a hole. One row per rise, from 0.008 at the top to 0.005 at the bottom, and one column per offset: the organ one place back at the left, 14 places back at the right. A cell is filled where removing that organ moves the next organ by more than 2.5°, and empty where it does not. On a rung the filled cells are a run from one to the larger parastichy number — 12, 13 at the pairs shown on the left. Between a rise of 0.008 and 0.007 the run ends at 8 and one more cell is filled at 12, with the offsets between them quiet to under a degree. That isolated column is one place inside the larger number of the pair the stem is climbing towards.
Fig. 7 Four rises inside one rung. A response that ended at the wrong number would show as an interval of the wrong length here, at every one of them.

No response at all. Every offset moving the next organ by less than the plant’s own scatter is the transported account’s prediction, and it is the outcome that would end the placement rule as a model of that material.

And a recovery pattern with no middle. If cuts anywhere in the front heal on a plant with thirteen contact rows, the second attractor is an artefact of the model rather than a property of a placement rule.

What a null result would and would not mean

The experiment can come back empty in three ways, and they are not the same failure.

No response at any offset. This is the transported account’s prediction and would be the strongest possible result — against the placement rule, and worth publishing on its own.

A response with the wrong shape. Displacements that decay with offset rather than stopping, or a response that ends at the smaller number, would say the rule is roughly right about recomputation and wrong about its neighbourhood. That is the most likely interesting outcome, because the neighbourhood is the part of the model with the least evidence behind it.

Healing everywhere. On material at 8/13 or finer this contradicts the model; on coarser material it contradicts nothing, which is why the selection criterion is a condition rather than a suggestion. A study that reported “ablation does not permanently disturb phyllotaxis” without stating its counts would be uninterpretable, and this is the specific thing this essay exists to prevent.

Two ways the model could be right and the experiment still fail

Both are about the difference between a deletion and a wound, and neither is addressable from here.

The hole may not stay a hole. The model’s ablation removes an organ and the gap remains a gap for ever. On a real apex the surrounding tissue grows, and if it closes the gap faster than the next primordium is initiated, the rule sees an arrangement with no vacancy in it and does nothing. That would produce a null result on a plant that computes its positions exactly as modelled.

The wound may inhibit. A damaged region may itself act as an inhibitor, in which case removing an organ adds to the field rather than subtracting from it, and the next primordium is pushed away from the vacancy rather than into it. The model predicts a displacement into the hole, of a whole divergence at some offsets — so the sign of the displacement is itself a test, and a next organ that moves away from the vacancy would be evidence that the wound dominates.

That second one is a gift rather than a difficulty: the prediction is directional and large, so an experiment that measures the sign has already learned something whichever way it comes out.

What the model still cannot tell an experimenter

Two things, and both are honest limits rather than to-do items.

How long a real apex takes to do any of this. The model’s time is organs, not days, and the mapping between them is the plastochron — which varies with temperature, light and the plant’s own age.

What a wound does. Removing a primordium from a real meristem is surgery: it leaves damaged tissue, a wound response, and a hole that is not simply an absence of inhibition. The model’s ablation is a clean deletion, and the difference is the largest single reason a real result might differ from the prediction.

The specification is therefore: a plant at 8/13 or finer, well inside a rung, ablated at fifteen offsets, with the response reported as a set of yeses; and, if the recovery question is being asked, several plants per offset and a season.

That is a smaller and more specific experiment than the one written down in the essay that first specified it, and every one of the conditions came from a measurement rather than from a worry.

The check

The conditions are asserted where the stems are grown, which is what stops them becoming advice.

The coarsest rung must heal every ablation at every cut point — the criterion in condition one, stated so that it fails if a coarse stem ever fails to recover.

The response must be an interval at every rung rise and must not be one at the transition rises, which is conditions two and three together.

On a rung the response is a run of offsets; near a transition it has a hole. One row per rise, from 0.02 at the top to 0.005 at the bottom, and one column per offset: the organ one place back at the left, 14 places back at the right. A cell is filled where removing that organ moves the next organ by more than 2.5°, and empty where it does not. On a rung the filled cells are a run from one to the larger parastichy number — 8, 12, 13 at the pairs shown on the left. Between a rise of 0.02 and 0.008 the run ends at 5 and one more cell is filled at 7, with the offsets between them quiet to under a degree. That isolated column is one place inside the larger number of the pair the stem is climbing towards.
Fig. 8 The whole run the conditions are asserted over, from a coarse rise down through a transition. The interval, the isolated offset and the incoming count are checked at each of these rises as the stems are grown.

And the isolated offset must be the incoming count less one, predicted from the hop lengths of the undisturbed stem rather than fitted after the fact. If that prediction failed, the second measurement this specification offers would be worth nothing, and the specification would go back to being about one number.

Two of the conditions have moved

The condition that reads most like a restriction — the plant must not be too coarsely patterned, or nothing will go wrong at all — is now about the intervention rather than about the plant. A stem carrying 3/5 heals every single-organ removal and does not heal every two-organ one, so the experiment reaches coarse arrangements at the cost of one more primordium.

A second condition has been added in its place, and it is about whorled shoots. On a stem with two organs at every node the displacement has to be read modulo half a turn, or the response never appears to end; read that way the boundary is the larger count as usual, and removing either organ of one node gives the same answer to the last digit — a control internal to one shoot.

What links here

Computed from the collection, not written here: the essays that point at this one.

Shares its objects with

Essays that name at least two of the same things, and that neither author linked.

  • The control a survey would need — both name counting blind, discrimination, evidence, falsifiability, honest limits, measurement, measurement error, null model, parastichy pair, sample size, specimen, survey
  • The forgery needs a history — both name artefact, counting blind, discrimination, evidence, falsifiability, honest limits, measurement, null model, parastichy pair
  • The second statistic was the first — both name discrimination, evidence, falsifiability, honest limits, measurement, measurement error, sample size, specimen, survey
  • What the pair costs — both name counting blind, discrimination, honest limits, measurement, measurement error, parastichy pair, sample size, specimen, survey
  • A disturbance that is not passed on — both name artefact, discrimination, evidence, falsifiability, honest limits, measurement, null model, parastichy pair
  • A disturbance with a memory — both name artefact, discrimination, evidence, honest limits, measurement, measurement error, null model, parastichy pair

Named objects

A flat tag is an object no other essay names yet.

AblationArtefactCounting blindDiscriminationEvidenceFalsifiabilityHonest limitsMeasurementMeasurement errorNull modelParastichy pairSample sizeSpecimenSurveyTransitions