The claims, measured

The ablation a plant would survive

The intervention this site proposed returns a spiral count from a yes-or-no answer, needs no protractor, and was specified at one rise. Measured across the ladder it acquires three conditions a real experiment would have to meet — and one of them is that the plant must not be too coarsely patterned, or nothing will go wrong at all.

Worth reading first: The survey this site cannot do · The organ that was taken away · Counting the spirals.

This site has one experiment it can specify rather than merely wish for. Take a plant with a settled spiral arrangement, remove a single primordium, and record whether the next one appears where it was going to. The number of positions for which the answer is no is the larger parastichy number — a spiral count with no angles, no coordinates and no counting of rows.

It was specified at one rise, on one kind of stem. Measured across three rungs and through a transition it survives, and it acquires conditions. This is the specification with those conditions in it.

What the experiment measures, restated

The prediction is a step. Removing an organ k places back moves the next organ by tens of degrees for every k out to n, and by less than a degree for every k past it.

The next organ moves for the last 13, and for no othersOne row per organ removed, counted back from the tip of a stem at a rise of 0.005 whose counted pair is 8 and 13. Removing any of the last 13 moves the next organ by 2.6° to 167.6°; removing an older one moves it by at most 0.47°, which is under the azimuth grid. The boundary is at 13, and 13 is the larger parastichy number — so the experiment counts the spirals without measuring an angle.organ removed, counted back from the tiphow far the next organ moves, in degrees1138.0°284.4°353.4°4167.6°529.3°6101.7°7120.7°816.4°9165.2°1056.7°1181.1°12140.6°132.6°— the front ends here140.0°150.0°160.5°rise 0.005 · pair 8/13generated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 1 The measurement as the rule produces it. Displacements from a couple of degrees to the whole circle inside the front, and under a degree outside it — a step sharp enough that no threshold between one degree and a hundred changes the answer.

The rival account — organs at exact multiples of a divergence, with errors passed between neighbours — predicts zero at every offset, by construction rather than by fitting, since in it no organ’s intended position is a function of whether an earlier organ exists. So this is a one-sided test with an effect size of tens of degrees against a null of tenths.

Take away the organ eight places back, and the next one goes into the holeThe last 30 organs of a stem at a rise of 0.005, unrolled. The open circle is the organ removed — eight places before the tip. The ring at the top is where the rule puts the next organ with every organ present; the filled mark beside it is where the rule puts it with that one missing. The two are 16.4° apart, against a local spacing of 25°, and the vacancy itself is 22.7° from the undisturbed answer. Nothing else differs between the two runs: same rise, same history, same rule.moved 16.4°open ring: where the next organ was going · filled: where it goes · large open circle: the organ removedrise 0.005 · cut 8 back · height ×6generated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 2 What one trial looks like. The organ removed is drawn open, the ring is where the rule puts the next organ with everything present, and the filled mark is where it puts it with that one missing. The quantity a botanist would record is the angle between the last two.

Why this experiment rather than a photograph

The case for spending a scalpel on a plant that could simply be counted is worth restating, because it is the whole reason the specification exists.

Every other instrument on this site reads an arrangement that is already there. A counter shown the positions returns a pair; a spectrum of the divergence sequence returns a pair; a fit to the hop lengths returns the rise and the divergence. All of them are measurements of form, and the site’s own results have shown, twice, that form does not separate the accounts: a kinematic lattice with transported errors reproduces the comb, the second comb and the pair, and the ratio that once separated them follows the disturbance rather than the rule.

The intervention is not a measurement of form. It asks what the plant does when its arrangement is changed, and the two accounts differ about that by construction — one has a rule that recomputes, the other has positions that were never computed. This is the only observable on this site that a photograph cannot supply, which is why it is worth the conditions.

What the positions say, and what the angles sayEach row is one stem at one rise. The left column is the parastichy pair counted from the coordinates; the right is the single number read out of the divergence angles alone, over 3 runs. On the Lucas ladder — 3/4, 4/7, 7/11 — the readout returns the smaller number too, so it is reading the lattice rather than Fibonacci. The last row is the one that matters: at a rise of 0.05 the positions give an unarguable 2/3 and the angles give 4, 23, 12 — all five wrong, and all five refused.counted from the pointsread from the anglesgolden, rise 0.0323 / 533/3 clear · peak 0.73golden, rise 0.0135 / 853/3 clear · peak 0.66golden, rise 0.0058 / 1383/3 clear · peak 0.78Lucas, rise 0.0323 / 433/3 clear · peak 0.50Lucas, rise 0.024 / 743/3 clear · peak 0.44Lucas, rise 0.0087 / 1173/3 clear · peak 0.59golden, rise 0.052 / 34, 23, 12refused — peak 0.13 under 0.343 runs per rise · the readout sees a list of angles and nothing elsethe refusal is the gate working
Fig. 3 Two instruments reading the same stems, both of them reading form. They agree, which is reassuring and is not evidence about mechanism — an arrangement can be read many ways and still be an arrangement.

Condition one: the plant must be finely enough patterned to be damaged

The intervention has a second half — whether the stem recovers — and that half is where the ladder matters.

At the 8/13 rung, five of the thirteen offsets never recover in three hundred organs. At 5/8, two of eight. At 3/5, none: every single-organ ablation is undone within forty organs, at three cut points four dozen organs apart.

The band that never heals is what two fixed edges leave overEach row is one rung. A stem is grown to 400 organs, one organ is removed, and the stem is followed for 300 more. A filled mark is an offset the stem recovers from, with the number of organs it took printed above it; an open ring is an offset it never recovers from. At the 3/5 rung, a front of 5, every offset heals. At the 5/8 rung, a front of 8, the offsets 4, 5 never heal. At the 8/13 rung, a front of 13, the offsets 4, 6, 7, 8, 9 never heal. What is the same at every rung is the two edges: the first three offsets heal, and so do the last few of the front. What is left in the middle is the band, and it widens because the front does.organs back from the tip →24681012143/5rise 0.03202539388all heal5/8rise 0.01302643383214two never8/13rise 0.005024481255359427five neverback on its lattice, and after how many organsnever, in 300 organs3 rungs · cut at organ 400generated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 4 Why the same experiment on two plants can produce opposite conclusions about how robust the rule is. The band that never heals is what two fixed edges leave over, so a front of five has no middle and a front of thirteen has a third of itself in the middle.

For an experimenter that is a selection criterion, and it is the first thing the specification did not have. A study of whether ablation permanently disturbs phyllotaxis, done on material with a low count — a young shoot, a small cone, a seedling — would return no and would be right about its material and wrong about the rule.

The counts to work with are 8/13 and finer. Below that, healing is the expected outcome, and the count the work was done at has to be reported with it so that two results can be told apart.

Every transition as the rise fallsThe pair climbs 1/2 → 2/3 → 3/5 → 5/8 → 8/13. Consecutive transitions are 0.381, 0.382, 0.382 of the previous rise — 1/φ² is 0.3820.0.4000.6000.8001-2-1.50-1log₁₀ of the rise between nodes (falling to the right is the plant growing)log₁₀ of the larger parastichy number2/33/55/88/13500 rises, shortest vectors recomputed at eachratio 0.3819 against 1/φ² = 0.3820
Fig. 5 Where a specimen sits on the ladder, which is the quantity the criterion is about. The count is measurable from a photograph before anything is cut, so the criterion costs nothing to apply.

Condition two: not near a transition

The clean form of the result — the response is the offsets one to n, and nothing past — holds in the middle of a rung. Within about a fifth of a rung of a transition the response is an interval plus one isolated offset, with silent organs in between: at a rise of 0.008 the felt offsets are one to eight and twelve, with nine, ten and eleven moving the next organ by under a degree.

On a rung the response is a run of offsets; near a transition it has a holeOne row per rise, from 0.011 at the top to 0.006 at the bottom, and one column per offset: the organ one place back at the left, 14 places back at the right. A cell is filled where removing that organ moves the next organ by more than 2.5°, and empty where it does not. On a rung the filled cells are a run from one to the larger parastichy number — 8, 12 at the pairs shown on the left. Between a rise of 0.009 and 0.007 the run ends at 8 and one more cell is filled at 12, with the offsets between them quiet to under a degree. That isolated column is one place inside the larger number of the pair the stem is climbing towards.riseorgans back from the tip →run · isolated24681012140.0115/880.00955/880.0095/88 · 120.0085/88 · 120.0075/88 · 11,120.0068/13126 rises · 1536 azimuthsgenerated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 6 The response through a transition. The run ends at the count the plant has; the lone cell past it is one place inside the count it is about to have, and it is as strongly felt as anything inside the front.

An experimenter who took the largest felt offset as the count would report thirteen minus one on a plant with eight rows. The condition is therefore: test the offsets past the front as well, and report the response as a set rather than as a maximum.

Done that way the transition is not a nuisance but a second measurement — the lone offset names the pair the plant is climbing towards, which is information no photograph of the same plant contains.

Two answers 138° apart, and one organ holding the second one upThe repulsion the rule minimises, around the circumference of a stem at a rise of 0.008, at the height the next organ will sit at. It has two low points 138.3° apart: the slot the next organ takes, and the slot the organ after it will take. The runner-up is 13.6% higher. The organ 13 places back carries 14.6% of the energy at the winning slot and twelve places back carries 16.3% at the runner-up — and that is more than the gap, so taking that organ away makes the runner-up win and the next organ appears a whole divergence away. Neither guard is a contact of the organ being placed; twelve is one place inside the larger number of the pair this stem is climbing towards.the slot it takesthe slot after next, 14% higherazimuth around the stemrepulsion around the circumference13 back holds the first, twelve back holds the secondrise 0.008 · pair 5/8 · climbing to 8/13generated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 7 Why the lone offset exists. The rule’s profile has a runner-up slot one divergence from the winner, and one organ past the front is holding it up; take that organ away and the runner-up wins.

Condition three: the count is the yeses, not the largest yes

Which follows from the second, and is the sentence the original specification got slightly wrong.

In the middle of a rung the two are the same number. Near a transition they are not: the count is the length of the run from the tip, and the largest felt offset is one place inside the incoming count. Reported as a run, the answer is right at every rise measured; reported as a maximum, it is wrong at four of thirteen.

A count of m and n pins the divergence to 221°/mnEach dot is one reported pair, and its height is the total width of the divergence angles that could have produced it at some rise. 2/3 leaves 38.8° open; 34/55 leaves 0.118°. The line is 221°/mn, taken from the three highest pairs and drawn back through the rest.-10111.5022.503product of the two counts, log₁₀angles left open, log₁₀ °2/33/55/88/1313/2121/3434/557 pairs · edges found by bisectionwidth × mn = 221°
Fig. 8 What a reported count buys, which is the reason to get it right. A pair pins the divergence to a fraction of a degree, so an error of one in the larger number is not a small mistake in a summary — it is a different plant.

The three questions, and what each one is worth

Setting the questions out in order of value rather than in order of cost is worth doing once, because they are usually run together and they are not equally important.

The count by intervention. A parastichy count obtained without counting. This is the least surprising of the three and the most useful, because it is a number an experimenter can compare directly with a photograph of the same plant. Agreement is a check on the whole picture; disagreement is a defect in one of two instruments, and cheap to chase.

The boundary as evidence about mechanism. The step’s existence, rather than its position, is what separates the accounts. It is worth more than the count and is harder to report convincingly, because the null it is being tested against — no response at any offset — has to be established with the plant’s own scatter measured on the same material.

The second attractor. Whether a cut in the middle of the front leaves the plant permanently on a different arrangement is the most striking prediction here and the least likely to survive contact with a real meristem, because it is the one that depends on the model’s behaviour hundreds of organs after the intervention. It also has the most distinctive signature: a two-ranked arrangement with a slow twist, whose block length is the plant’s old smaller count.

An experiment that answered only the first question would still be worth doing. An experiment that answered the third would be remarkable, and it would take a season.

The block a wrecked stem settles into is the count it was cut fromA stem is cut in the middle of its front and followed for 300 organs. It does not come back to its lattice; what it does instead is repeat a fixed sequence of divergences exactly, to the resolution of the azimuth grid. Each row shows that sequence twice over, one bar per organ, drawn to the same scale. At the 5/8 rung the sequence is five angles long and advances -36.1° per block; At the 8/13 rung the sequence is eight angles long and advances 22.5° per block. Every block is the smaller number of the pair that was cut, so the second attractor carries the first one's count — and every precession is one part in twice the block, which makes each of these a two-jugate arrangement with 10 and 16 rows.5/8 rungblock of 5-36.1° a blockand again208.8° on average8/13 rungblock of 8+22.5° a blockand again182.8° on average300 organs after the cut · 1536 azimuthsgenerated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 9 The signature the third question is looking for. A block of angles repeating, precessing by one part in twice its own length — five angles on a plant that was 5/8 and eight on a plant that was 8/13, which is a prediction specific enough to be recognised in a real stem.

What it costs in specimens

Three questions, three sample sizes, and they differ by an order of magnitude.

Is the response a step at all? One specimen, if the ablations can be done at enough offsets on it. The effect is tens of degrees against a null of tenths, so a single clean series of fifteen ablations either shows the step or does not.

Where does the step end? The same series, read as a run. The boundary is one organ wide in the model, so the precision is set by how many offsets are tried rather than by how many plants.

Does the stem recover? This is the expensive one. Recovery has to be watched for over roughly three hundred organs after the cut, which on a real apex is a season rather than an afternoon, and the fates of neighbouring offsets differ — one offset heals in seven organs and its neighbour never does. A study of the recovery question needs several plants per offset and a plant that will keep producing organs for long enough to see it.

Every open question here needs under 34 specimensThe sample size at which each comparison reaches 90 per cent power at a 5 per cent false-positive rate, from the exact binomial rather than a normal approximation. The census question — do plants show consecutive Fibonacci pairs far more often than the geometry does — needs 4: 14.7% is the share of divergence angles giving a consecutive Fibonacci pair at a fine rise; 90% is what a grown history gives.plants show consecutive Fibonacci pairs far more…4and more often even than a coin weighted to a half14a conifer cone's rings are spaced as a cone rather…1multijugate patterns are a real minority rather than…34against 14.7%, if the truth is 90%needs: the pair, at a stated rungagainst 14.7%, if the truth is 50%needs: the pair, at a stated rungagainst φ² = 2.62, if the truth is φ^(2/1.88) = 1.67needs: three ring positions, to ±3%against 2%, if the truth is 15%needs: the pair; the whorl's symmetryspecimens neededexact binomial · α = 0.05 · power 0.91 to 34 specimens
Fig. 10 The sample-size arithmetic this site has been assembling for the survey it cannot run. The ablation’s first two questions are cheap by these standards because the effect is enormous; the third is expensive because the observable is a duration.

What would refute the rule

Worth stating plainly, because an experiment whose every outcome is consistent with the model is not an experiment.

A response with no step. Displacements of tens of degrees at offsets far behind the front — thirty, fifty — would say the rule’s neighbourhood is not what it is modelled as.

A response that ends at the wrong number. A run ending at the smaller parastichy number, or at neither, on a plant well inside a rung.

No response at all. Every offset moving the next organ by less than the plant’s own scatter is the transported account’s prediction, and it is the outcome that would end the placement rule as a model of that material.

What the pair costs, at a rise of 0.005Five seeded stems at each length, read at four protractor errors. With no reading error the pair needs 250 internodes — against the sixty the single parastichy number costs. At 0.25° per organ it needs 250; At 0.5° per organ it needs 400; At 0.75° per organ it needs 1100. The pattern's own scatter here is 0.70°, so the last of those is a reading error larger than the signal being read.0123451502504007601.1e+3internodes measured on one stemstems out of five returning the counted pairno reading error0.25° per organ0.5° per organ0.75° per organrise 0.005 · disturbance 0.25 · pattern scatter 0.70°generated from a stated rule, not drawn to look right
Fig. 11 What the alternative costs. Reading the pair out of a divergence sequence needs hundreds of organs measured to a fraction of a degree; the ablation needs one organ and a yes-or-no. The point of specifying the intervention carefully is that it is the cheap instrument.

And a recovery pattern with no middle. If cuts anywhere in the front heal on a plant with thirteen contact rows, the second attractor is an artefact of the model rather than a property of a placement rule.

What a null result would and would not mean

The experiment can come back empty in three ways, and they are not the same failure.

No response at any offset. This is the transported account’s prediction and would be the strongest possible result — against the placement rule, and worth publishing on its own.

A response with the wrong shape. Displacements that decay with offset rather than stopping, or a response that ends at the smaller number, would say the rule is roughly right about recomputation and wrong about its neighbourhood. That is the most likely interesting outcome, because the neighbourhood is the part of the model with the least evidence behind it.

Healing everywhere. On material at 8/13 or finer this contradicts the model; on coarser material it contradicts nothing, which is why the selection criterion is a condition rather than a suggestion. A study that reported “ablation does not permanently disturb phyllotaxis” without stating its counts would be uninterpretable, and this is the specific thing this essay exists to prevent.

What is visible in the outer part of a 3000-element organBoth surfaces have the same ladder in element number — the rise is 1/(2πi·flare) on a cone and 1/(4πi) on a disc, and c and the internode step both cancel. What differs is where the elements are. Counting outside 50 per cent of the extent, a cone shows 1 change and a disc 1, because half a cone's length holds half its elements and half a disc's radius holds three quarters of them.02460.2000.4000.6000.8001counting only outside this fraction of the organ's length or radiustransitions inside the counted partdisc: 1 beyond 50%cone: 1 beyond 50%flare 0.2 · 3000 elements1 against 1 in the outer 50%
Fig. 12 How often a real organ crosses a rung, on a surface whose rise falls smoothly. A specimen chosen without regard to where it sits on the ladder is quite likely to be near a transition, which is the second condition in one picture.

Two ways the model could be right and the experiment still fail

Both are about the difference between a deletion and a wound, and neither is addressable from here.

The hole may not stay a hole. The model’s ablation removes an organ and the gap remains a gap for ever. On a real apex the surrounding tissue grows, and if it closes the gap faster than the next primordium is initiated, the rule sees an arrangement with no vacancy in it and does nothing. That would produce a null result on a plant that computes its positions exactly as modelled.

The wound may inhibit. A damaged region may itself act as an inhibitor, in which case removing an organ adds to the field rather than subtracting from it, and the next primordium is pushed away from the vacancy rather than into it. The model predicts a displacement into the hole, of a whole divergence at some offsets — so the sign of the displacement is itself a test, and a next organ that moves away from the vacancy would be evidence that the wound dominates.

That second one is a gift rather than a difficulty: the prediction is directional and large, so an experiment that measures the sign has already learned something whichever way it comes out.

What the model still cannot tell an experimenter

Two things, and both are honest limits rather than to-do items.

How long a real apex takes to do any of this. The model’s time is organs, not days, and the mapping between them is the plastochron — which varies with temperature, light and the plant’s own age.

What a wound does. Removing a primordium from a real meristem is surgery: it leaves damaged tissue, a wound response, and a hole that is not simply an absence of inhibition. The model’s ablation is a clean deletion, and the difference is the largest single reason a real result might differ from the prediction.

Both vary; only one of them varies enough to findEach organ's step exponents, divided by its own mean so the two are comparable. The ogive's run over 15 per cent of their mean across 5 rings. The convex head's run over 1.15 per cent across 5 — inside the band a 3 per cent error on each ring position leaves, so no ruler separates it from a flat disc.0.9000.95011.050123which step of the ladderexponent ÷ its meanan ogive — 15%a convex head — 1.15%what 3% per ring allows5 rings on the ogive · 5 on the head15% against 1.15%
Fig. 13 The standing distinction. What the model licenses is a prediction about a clean deletion; a wound is a different object, and saying so is more useful than adding a wound term nobody has measured.

The specification is therefore: a plant at 8/13 or finer, well inside a rung, ablated at fifteen offsets, with the response reported as a set of yeses; and, if the recovery question is being asked, several plants per offset and a season.

That is a smaller and more specific experiment than the one written down in the essay that first specified it, and every one of the conditions came from a measurement rather than from a worry.

The check

The conditions are asserted where the stems are grown, which is what stops them becoming advice.

The coarsest rung must heal every ablation at every cut point — the criterion in condition one, stated so that it fails if a coarse stem ever fails to recover.

The response must be an interval at every rung rise and must not be one at the transition rises, which is conditions two and three together.

And the isolated offset must be the incoming count less one, predicted from the hop lengths of the undisturbed stem rather than fitted after the fact. If that prediction failed, the second measurement this specification offers would be worth nothing, and the specification would go back to being about one number.

Shares its objects with

Essays that name at least two of the same things, and that neither author linked.

  • The control a survey would need — both name counting blind, discrimination, evidence, falsifiability, honest limits, measurement, measurement error, null model, parastichy pair, sample size, specimen, survey
  • The survey loses its second outcome — both name artefact, discrimination, evidence, falsifiability, honest limits, measurement, measurement error, null model, sample size, specimen, survey, transitions
  • The forgery needs a history — both name artefact, counting blind, discrimination, evidence, falsifiability, honest limits, measurement, null model, parastichy pair
  • What the pair costs — both name counting blind, discrimination, honest limits, measurement, measurement error, parastichy pair, sample size, specimen, survey
  • A disturbance that is not passed on — both name artefact, discrimination, evidence, falsifiability, honest limits, measurement, null model, parastichy pair
  • A disturbance with a memory — both name artefact, discrimination, evidence, honest limits, measurement, measurement error, null model, parastichy pair

Named objects

A flat tag is an object no other essay names yet.

AblationArtefactCounting blindDiscriminationEvidenceFalsifiabilityHonest limitsMeasurementMeasurement errorNull modelParastichy pairSample sizeSpecimenSurveyTransitions